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By Jennifer Woods. Date Posted: 3/2/2026.
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Q4 2025 earnings results
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Royal Caribbean Is Cruising Toward a New All-Time High
Submitted by Jordan Chussler. Article Posted: 2/23/2026.
Key Points
- Cruise lines have performed well despite souring consumer sentiment, with all of the major companies having outperformed the S&P 500 YTD.
- Royal Caribbean, up 10% this year, has been the leader of the pack and is aggressively expanding its offerings while maximizing bookings and onboard spending.
- The stock receives a Moderate Buy rating with a strong dividend while remaining a favorite among institutional investors.
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Amid weakening consumer sentiment and a precarious labor market, hotels, resorts and cruise lines in the consumer discretionary sector aren't the obvious place to look for outperforming stocks.
After all, the broad sector—which finished third to last among the S&P 500's 11 sectors last year—has fallen about 2% through the first several weeks of 2026.
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Get the details on this opportunity before the 2026 launch.Still, global cruise companies have been defying expectations. Carnival (NYSE: CCL), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE: NCLH) and Viking Holdings (NYSE: VIK) have produced year-to-date gains of more than 2%, 4% and 6%, respectively.
But Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL) has delivered a standout performance, climbing nearly 10% so far this year. Here's why the nearly $84 billion company—the largest in the cruise industry—continues to reward investors and may be headed for another all-time high this year.
Setting Sail Toward 20% Annualized EPS Growth
Under its Perfecta strategic plan, Royal Caribbean targets 20% annualized earnings-per-share (EPS) growth. To date, the company has produced strong year-over-year EPS gains:
- 59.55% in 2022
- 174.67% in 2023
- 73.38% in 2024
- 42.69% in 2025
The company attributes that performance to a three-pronged strategy: moderate capacity growth, moderate yield growth and disciplined cost control. Those levers have supported solid financial results while the company pursues aggressive expansion.
Royal Caribbean is investing in megaships and plans to add seven new cruise ships to its fleet by the end of 2029. In addition to existing private destinations such as Perfect Day at CocoCay in the Bahamas and Labadee in Haiti, the company intends to expand its exclusive offerings to at least six high-demand private islands by 2027.
Royal Caribbean is also targeting competitors' market share in river cruising. While Viking Holdings controls an estimated 50% of the global river cruise industry, Royal Caribbean plans to add 10 river cruise ships by 2031, bringing its river-capable fleet to 20 vessels.
Mixed Q4 Earnings Won't Change the Narrative
Although RCL is about 15% below its Aug. 29, 2025 all-time high, the stock has surged since its pandemic low, gaining more than 1,200% since March 2020.
That rally has been backed by a strong earnings track record: the company hadn't missed EPS expectations since Q4 2021, so investor expectations were high when Royal Caribbean reported full-year and Q4 2025 results on Jan. 29.
Quarterly EPS of $2.80 met the consensus estimate, while revenue of $4.26 billion slightly missed the $4.28 billion forecast. Still, Q4 revenue represented a more than 13% year-over-year increase.
For the full year, Royal Caribbean reported record net income of nearly $4.3 billion, or $15.61 per share, on $17.9 billion of revenue. Management credited those results to robust demand and strong onboard spending.
On the earnings call, CEO Jason Liberty said the company "delivered a record 9.4 million memorable vacations at a very high customer satisfaction score, achieved nearly $18 billion of total revenue, and 33% earnings growth, all while expanding our margins, increasing return on invested capital, and reducing leverage."
Liberty noted Royal Caribbean generated nearly $6.5 billion of operating cash flow and returned $2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. The dividend yields about 1.29% (roughly $4 per share annually). The company's payout ratio is under 26%, and its five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 35.02% remains attractive to income investors.
What Wall Street Thinks About Royal Caribbean
Of the 23 analysts covering RCL, 19 rate it a Buy. The stock holds a consensus Moderate Buy rating, with an average 12-month price target above $348, implying roughly 12.3% upside from the current share price.
According to TradeSmith, Royal Caribbean's financial health has been in the Green Zone for the past three weeks. The company scores higher than 94% of the firms evaluated by MarketBeat, ranking 54th out of 278 stocks in the consumer discretionary sector.
Current short interest of 4.70%—about $3.88 billion—has ticked up slightly over the past month but remains nearly 10% below the $4.3 billion shorted in June 2025, a five-year high.
Institutional ownership stays robust at about 87.53%. After institutional outflows of $11 billion in Q3 2024—a 13-quarter high—only $1.69 billion of RCL stock was sold in Q4 2025. Over the past year, 944 institutional buyers outnumbered 613 institutional sellers.
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