Tuesday, July 28, 2026

NNVC on Alert: FDA Validation + $6 Price Target + Outperform Rating!

For decades, antibiotics transformed modern medicine. They turned once-deadly bacterial infections into treatable conditions and became one of the greatest breakthroughs in healthcare history.  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

 

 

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DRAM Right That’s Expensive

Plus: Rocket Lab scores its biggest ever contract in an escalating space race. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
 
The Daily Upside home
July 28, 2026

 

Good morning.

Steve Eisman, the famed Big Short investor who profited handsomely from the 2000s housing market bubble, sold his stake in Google-owner Alphabet “a couple of months ago.” Eisman told CNBC he “wanted to reduce my exposure to AI” and warned markets are in store for “a big correction” if massive spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure doesn’t produce commensurate returns. Shares in Alphabet fell more than 7% last week after the company hiked its 2026 capital expenditures forecast to $195 billion to $205 billion, up from $180 billion to $190 billion, spooking investors worried about long-term payoffs.

Microsoft, Meta and Amazon will report over the next two days, offering investors a wider update of Big Tech’s spending plans. Asked what would happen if a major hyperscaler cuts capex, Eisman replied: “I think the market would go straight down.” He noted he would not personally short the market, and is holding cash “until I can try and figure out what to do.” Our suggestion: Just chill at the beach with your Big Short millions while the rest of us sweat it out.

MARKETS

*Stock data as of market close on July 27, 2026.

China’s most valuable publicly listed company isn’t Alibaba or Foxconn or, as of yesterday, not even Tencent. Instead, it’s a stock market newcomer everyone is furiously Googling to find out more about.

Changxin Technology Group, or CXMT for short, soared 466% in its debut yesterday on Shanghai’s STAR Market. The company raised $8.6 billion in its IPO and its market cap surged above Tencent, an internet company known for mobile games including “Honor of Kings.”

CXMT plans to put the fresh capital to work ramping up production of its specialty: DRAM chips.

Not So Random

Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) is in high demand. AI taps loads of DRAM, and the AI boom has created a supply crunch for the DRAM chips that data centers (and phones and computers) rely on. Tech makers including Apple, Google and Nintendo have raised prices on their devices to account for the memory crunch. Gartner expects the combined price of DRAM and SSD (solid-state drive) to jump 130% by the end of this year, lifting PC prices 17% and smartphone prices 13%.

DRAM is dominated by three players, which together control about 90% of the global market: Samsung and SK Hynix, both hailing from South Korea, and the US’s own Micron. SK Hynix less than three weeks ago demonstrated investors’ demand for memory-chip stocks, when its blockbuster US IPO became the largest-ever by a non-US company. But there could be room for a new player:

  • CXMT’s revenue jumped from less than $1 billion in the first quarter of last year to more than $7 billion the same time a year later. The company’s market share is on a path to grow from 9% this year to 12% next year, SemiAnalysis predicted. Also, Apple is said to have asked the White House for permission to use CXMT’s chips, an exception that could speed up its market takeover.
  • A barrier for CXMT is that it’s on the Pentagon’s blacklist as a national security threat. Micron, which has a clear stake in the game, has contended that letting in Chinese DRAM would hurt the domestic market. But tech companies are seeking out cheaper sources of the highly-constricted memory because until they find some, prices will be passed down to US consumers.

Home and Away Game: CXMT has struggled to overcome US export controls when it comes to competing in the global market. Back home in China meanwhile, another chipmaker is hot on CXMT’s tail: Yangtze Memory Technologies, or YMTC. The company is hatching its own plan to go public and is reportedly targeting a 1 trillion yuan (about $148 billion) valuation. Both of the Chinese memory-makers, dubbed the “twin stars” of memory in their home country, are rapidly expanding capacity.

Written by Jamie Wilde

For most subscription businesses, churn is a persistent drag on revenue. Failed payments (expired cards, declined retries) represent a significant revenue loss. Forty-four percent of surveyed businesses reported rising voluntary churn, though benchmarks vary more sharply by vertical than most businesses expect.

Stripe has recovered more than $8.2 billion for subscription businesses through automated revenue recovery tools.

Stripe’s guide brings together industry benchmarks and the approaches that businesses with the lowest churn rates have in common.

See where yours stands.

Get the guide.

Photo of a Rocket Lab rocket being prepared for launch.

In the wake of SpaceX’s blockbuster IPO, many investors are wishing upon a Starlink. On Monday, however, it was a competitor in the space race that had markets proclaiming “Jumping Jupiter.”

Space company Rocket Lab announced it won the biggest launch contract in its history, a $266 million pact with the US Space Force to provide launch services and spacecraft for missile defense missions. Shares rose 4.7%, while SpaceX fell 1.3%.

The Gravity of the Situation

An orbital launch services provider that designs, builds and operates its own space systems, Rocket Lab is seen by many as the closest direct competitor to SpaceX’s rockets and launch business. It’s also in the process of acquiring mobile satellite firm Iridium Communications, which could transform it into a direct competitor of SpaceX’s Starlink internet service.

For this reason, Rocket Lab’s stock is heavily influenced by the gravitational pull of its much, much larger competitor (its $40 billion market capitalization a Titan to SpaceX’s $1.5 trillion Saturn). In advance of SpaceX’s June IPO, investor excitement around the space sector lifted Rocket Lab shares to a $150 peak on May 27. They have since fallen more than 55%, dragged down by the volatility that’s followed SpaceX’s instant megacap debut. Score one for Isaac Newton and the law of gravity.

Shareholders will hope that Monday’s announcement marks the start of a spin on Newton’s third law of motion, ensuring that, for every dip, there is an equal and opposite rally, one that could propel Rocket Lab away from SpaceX’s gravitational field:

  • The $266 million Space Force deal covers at least 12 suborbital launches, with the first set for later this year, and leaves the door open to a half dozen more. Crucially, it firmly entrenches the company’s place in the lucrative government contracting space: its $2.2 billion order backlog as of the end of the first quarter had already doubled year-over-year, mostly thanks to public sector deals.
  • “The size and scale of this contract reflects the Space Force’s confidence in our ability to meet their urgent national security demands with speed, responsiveness, and scale, and we’re proud to provide the high-frequency launch capacity required to keep the U.S. ahead of global threats,” CEO Peter Beck said in a statement.

In the three months ending in March, Rocket Lab reached $200 million in quarterly revenue for the first time, representing a 64% year-over-year increase. Its $45 million loss was an improvement from the $60 million loss a year earlier.

Stock Symbolism: Rocket Lab said most of the launches under the new Space Force contract will take place at the Pacific Spaceport Complex, a state-owned site on Alaska’s Kodiak Island, which is famous for its humongous brown bears. Shareholders, on the other hand, will no doubt bank on the local Bison bulls as the totem for their investment.

Written by Sean Craig

Photo via Seeking Alpha

Picking stocks well takes time, and no one has hours to comb thousands of tickers. Alpha Picks does the digging for you: a quant system from an ex-Morgan Stanley desk head combs the market and hands you two buy-and-hold ideas a month. Since 2022, it’s returned +365% against the S&P’s +95%. Get the picks.**

Photo of a Peacock's Sunday Night Football show.

The Streaming Wars are over. The Platform Wars have just begun.

In an opening shot, Google announced a multi-year deal on Monday that will make all of NBCUniversal’s Peacock content, from “Love Island USA” to “The Office” to the NBA and NFL, available for US YouTube Premium subscribers starting next year. While bundles are hardly new in the streaming era (Disney+ and HBO Max can be packaged at a discounted rate, for example), the deal does offer a genuine innovation in the modern media landscape.

Content Without Borders

Unlike other bundles, the deal announced Monday will make all of Peacock’s content available directly in YouTube, for Premium subscribers. That means Premium users (who pay $15.99 a month for an ad-free YouTube experience, in addition to other perks) can click from a MrBeast video straight to Sunday Night Football. Gone are the days of exiting one app and opening another, a step made all the more tedious when using a TV remote.

Zoom out, and the deal shows how the relative losers of the Streaming Wars are retooling as new age content distributors. Earlier this month, a Wells Fargo note suggested Disney’s share price could gain 40% if it ditched its proprietary streaming services to become a full-time licensor, arguing it cannot achieve the economics to compete in the streaming landscape. It’s a suggestion that Comcast’s soon-to-be-spun-off NBCUniversal, with its measly 48 million Peacock subscribers, appears to be taking to heart. It also beats the nauseating and expensive process of a merger or acquisition, as Paramount head honcho David Ellison now knows all too well.

For YouTube, the partnership is the latest and greatest attempt to trounce Netflix as both seek to become all-in-one entertainment platforms:

  • By subscriber count, YouTube Premium almost certainly trails Netflix; Google last reported Premium’s subscriber figure at 125 million in March of last year, while Netflix has 325 million. But by engagement, YouTube consistently outranks Netflix in total US TV time, according to Nielsen.
  • Netflix executives had discussed a similar deal for an in-app bundling of Peacock, according to a Wall Street Journal report earlier this month, but now YouTube has beaten them to the punch (though neither YouTube nor NBCUniversal claimed any exclusivity in the deal on Monday, so it’s possible a similar deal with Netflix is on the table). The streamer has recently lured high-profile video podcasts off of YouTube in a bid to shore up TV time.

A Universal Theory of Football: But podcasts are one thing, and NFL broadcasts, the crown jewel of US media, are another. “It’s almost like an asset-light way of licensing these games,” Third Bridge sector analyst John Conca told The Daily Upside, adding that the bundle makes YouTube “the front door” for cable-cutting sports fans. “I think if you’re a Netflix, you have to find a way to counter,” he added.

Written by Brian Boyle

Extra Upside
  • Career Rebrand: Julie Masino, the Cracker Barrel CEO who abandoned a company-wide rebranding effort last year after public backlash, will step down next month, the company said.
  • Another Round: Crude oil prices fell Monday after US and Iranian officials indicated they paused attacks to allow diplomatic talks to proceed.
  • Subscription Churn is Rising, and Much of it is Recoverable. Nearly half of subscription businesses are seeing churn rise. Stripe’s guide breaks down benchmarks by industry (SaaS, media, retail, and more) and shows how businesses recovered $8.2 billion through automated tools. See where your numbers stand.*

*Partner

Disclaimer

**Performance calculated from day of launch July 1, 2022, until July 20, 2026.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

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NNVC on Alert: FDA Validation + $6 Price Target + Outperform Rating!

For decades, antibiotics transformed modern medicine. They turned once-deadly bacterial infections into treatable conditions and became...