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This Month's Exclusive Content Qualcomm's Analysts Are Throwing in the Towel—Time to Be Brave?Author: Sam Quirke. Posted: 2/18/2026. 
Key Points - Qualcomm has fallen from early-January levels above $180 to around $140, erasing two years of gains and returning to 2020 levels.
- A wave of downgrades and reduced price targets suggests confidence is cracking across Wall Street.
- But with the stock’s RSI flashing extremely oversold conditions and support forming near $135, contrarians are beginning to circle.
- Special Report: This makes me furious (From The Oxford Club)
 Despite trading above $180 in the first week of January, shares of tech titan Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ: QCOM) now sit just above $140. The stock has effectively erased two years of gains and returned to roughly its 2020 price. For long-term holders, it's been a frustrating and bruising ride. Making things worse, the narrative has only weakened in recent weeks. Less-than-ideal Q1 guidance earlier this month added fuel to the fire, reinforcing concerns about the smartphone cycle and Qualcomm's ability to generate meaningful growth beyond it. Investors who have been burned by past false starts appear to have finally lost patience — and it's hard to blame them. What makes the situation more painful is that analysts who once largely ignored the name are now beginning to rate it poorly and urge caution. Still, as we've recently highlighted, this is also the kind of setup that can attract contrarians. A buy-the-dip opportunity could be taking shape. Let's take a closer look. The Bears Are Growing Louder The shift in tone from the sell side has been noticeable. Daiwa Securities Group cut its rating on Qualcomm from Outperform to Neutral last week, while Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Underweight rating earlier this month. Wells Fargo has also taken a cautious stance, reinforcing the view that investors should be careful. Some of the reduced price targets now extend down to the low $130s, implying analysts see room for further downside from current levels. The bear case is straightforward: Qualcomm may look cheap on the surface, but inexpensive stocks can stay that way for extended periods if growth underwhelms. Cautious voices argue the stock is already priced for muted growth, with little expectation for meaningful expansion. If the smartphone cycle — to which Qualcomm remains exposed — stays subdued or earnings disappoint again, the stock could continue to be sold. That said, not all analysts have soured. A handful of firms continue to rate the stock a Buy or equivalent, underscoring how divided sentiment has become. Price Action Suggests a Low May Be Forming While analyst downgrades grab headlines, price action and technicals can offer a better pulse on the near-term story. Qualcomm's relative strength index (RSI) is currently flashing extremely oversold conditions, signaling selling pressure has reached rare levels. Historically, these readings have not persisted for long. Importantly, the stock has found support following the sharp post-earnings drop in early February. After weeks of extended sell-offs, the past week has seen more consistent green days. That's a subtle shift in tone and may signal the bears are beginning to run out of steam. The $135 area — which the bears have been unable to push the stock below — now looks like a key line in the sand. If that level continues to hold, the technical setup could flip from breakdown to consolidation. Given how oversold the shares are, it might not take much to trigger a recovery rally. The Contrarian Case Is Worth Exploring Not all analysts have thrown in the towel. DZ Bank upgraded the stock to a Strong Buy last week, Argus reiterated its Buy rating earlier this month, and Piper Sandler maintained its Overweight stance. Some of these bullish price targets reach as high as $200. From current levels, that implies potential upside of roughly 40%, which — when paired with oversold technicals and stabilizing price action — is hard to ignore. Contrarian investors don't need Qualcomm to become a market darling overnight; they just need the stock to stop falling. Looking at the chart over the past week, they're starting to get that. Weighing the Opportunity There's no denying Qualcomm is likely to remain a frustrating stock for at least a little while. Cyclical headwinds and a chronic inability to sustain upward momentum have repeatedly undermined confidence. However, extreme negativity can create opportunity. If the stock holds above $135 and continues to stabilize through the coming days, a cautiously bullish stance begins to make sense. If that level fails, the bears may have another leg down.
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