Claude, topple the Ayatollah. Make no mistakes

February 27th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Top News No Deal Odds of a near-term U.S. strike on Iran are spiking on reports that the U.S. Embassy in Israel is urging immediate evacuation and China is calling on all its citizens to leave Iran. Read more → What Claude Knows Anthropic has rejected a demand by the Pentagon to remove limitations on use for autonomous weapons and mass surveillance. But Polymarket traders are skeptical Hegseth will follow through on his demand to break the Anthropic contract. Read more → ​ Wallet Watch Wolfmoon It's two weeks out from the Oscars, and we're on the hunt for Polymarket's sharpest pop culture traders. @wolfmoon typically trades European politics, but is now fully positioned for the Oscars, with over $14k on One Battle After Another to win Best Picture. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? View market → 46% +2% Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? View market → 81% +12% GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? View market → 3% -25% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Largest Company End of February? 12h Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? 12h Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? 12h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? 13h ago Trump declares election interference national emergency? 14h ago New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31? 14h ago See all New → ​ Top Sports Starts In Nets vs. Celtics 12h 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 122d Sabres vs. Panthers 12h See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word Supreme Court Play-by-Play Last Friday, the Supreme Court struck down Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs 6-3. But if you'd been watching Polymarket on November 5th, the day of the oral arguments, you wouldn't have been surprised. We pinpoint the exact moments during the hearing where the tariff case fell apart. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.