Stocks are Probably Going Down Today

January 20th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Markets U.S. financial markets are flashing warning signs following Trump's aggressive moves on Greenland. Stock futures are red. Bond yield forecasts are up. And the odds for the U.S. to leave NATO this year have almost tripled. Read more → ​ Quick Links S&P 500 Single-Day Gains and Losses in Q1 → How High will 10-year Treasury Yield Go by March 31? → Will US Withdraw from NATO before 2027? → Measles Forecasts for U.S. measles cases are trending higher following a recent outbreak in South Carolina. Over 5,000 cases are now projected for this year. Check odds → Don Lemon Criminal charges are unlikely for Don Lemon, who was part of a group of protesters in Minnesota who interrupted a church service, accusing the pastor of being tied to ICE. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? View market → 11% +11% Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? View market → 55% +14% Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? View market → 28% +7% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? 2d Bank of Japan decision in January? 2d #1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 23) 2d #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? 2d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January? 11h ago Top performing Magnificent 7 company week of January 19? 17h ago North Korea missile launch by February 28? 18h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $6.21M Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $5.64M Presidential Election Winner 2028 $2.78M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $2.25M Venezuela leader end of 2026? $1.95M Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? $1.83M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Super Bowl Champion 2026 19d 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 180d La Liga Winner 129d English Premier League Winner 126d Wild vs. Canadiens 12h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? $76.4K hersodolphi See Wallet → "Yes" Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? $51.2K GamblingRuinsLives See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.