Did Iran Turn Off Your Phone?

January 15th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories China Lifeline? Odds for a U.S. strike on Iran were surging last night until two Chinese jets entered Iran's otherwise empty airspace. Did Beijing make a call? Read more → ​ Quick Links Will the Iranian Regime Survive Strikes? → Will the U.S. Recognize Reza Pahlavi as Iran's Ruler? → Will Khamenei Leave Iran? → Did the Mullahs Turn Off Your Phone? A suspiciously-timed Verizon outage lasted roughly 10 hours yesterday. But Polymarket traders think it is unlikely to be definitively linked to Iran. Check odds → Bad Bunny Bad Bunny is still ahead for Album of the Year in the 2026 Grammy Awards, which airs Feb. 1. But Kendrick Lamar and Lady Gaga have both made gains in recent trading. Full awards list after the jump. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? View market → 55% +19% Trump x Greenland deal signed by March 31? View market → 35% +14% Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition View market → 35% +13% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? 1h Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? 11h Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16? 11h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed What will Trump say during WEF Address on January 21? 12h ago January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets) 14h ago What will Zohran Mamdani say during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement? 15h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $4.91M Portugal Presidential Election $4.91M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $3.83M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $3.21M Presidential Election Winner 2028 $2.63M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Thunder vs. Rockets 12h Grizzlies vs. Magic 6h 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 165d Texans vs. Patriots 3d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? $93.4K Gtno See Wallet → "No" Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? $87.3K BoringPunter See Wallet → "No" Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? $100.0K 0x40e1D00D3A43aF1C4f… See Wallet → "No" US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? $219.1K onekey09 See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.