Trump is Positioned. Elon Lights the Fuse.
Dear Reader,
Two of the most powerful men alive are about to collide in the crypto market.
The Trump family is already loaded. World Liberty Financial. The $TRUMP token.
A White House rewriting crypto policy in real time. They didn't stumble into this… they built their positions before the broader market caught on.
Elon is about to detonate the largest liquidity event in history. The SpaceX IPO isn't just a listing.
It's a flood. With a valuation targeting $1.75 trillion, hundreds of billions of dollars are about to be unlocked, repositioned, and chased into the next opportunity.
That money doesn't park in SpaceX forever. It spills outward. Into tech. Into risk assets.
And it finds its way into crypto faster than any other asset class on earth.
Trump has been building for this. Elon is about to fire the starter pistol.
There's a single crypto sitting at the exact intersection of these two forces. Plugged into the right infrastructure.
Sitting at a valuation that won't last once the wave hits.
And institutions are already there… loading up while the retail crowd stares at SpaceX.
The window closes the moment the public catches on.
Click here to see our #1 crypto for the SpaceX IPO.
Regards,
Bryce Paul
Crypto 101
Alcoa Dips After Q1 Miss, But Higher Aluminum Prices Loom
Written by Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 4/18/2026.
Key Points
- Alcoa's weak Q1 is explainable; the outlook is far more robust.
- Analysts and institutional trends reveal aggressive accumulation and limited downside risk.
- Market disruptions support supply/demand imbalances and favorable pricing for Alcoa products.
- Special Report: The Biggest IPO Ever: Claim Your Stake Today
Alcoa’s (NYSE: AA) fiscal Q1 2026 earnings disappointed, with both revenue and earnings per share falling short of consensus. Still, investors appear to be looking past the near-term weakness toward stronger results ahead.
Seasonal Q1 weakness, improving demand trends, and supportive pricing point to accelerating growth, improving profitability, and increased capacity for capital returns. While headwinds remain, long-term demand trends indicate growth: the market is expected to expand roughly 40% by 2030 and to sustain a modest single-digit compound annual growth rate through 2050.
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Get your free Opening Bell Breakouts trade guide hereLong-term demand supports prices, but in the near term aluminum has been bid higher by the conflict in the Persian Gulf. The disruption has constrained global shipping and knocked key smelters offline; repairs will not be quick. In one UAE facility a forced shutdown left liquid aluminum in piping, which solidified and required extensive reconstruction. Even under the best case, that plant may not resume normal production for a year, and delays are likely. The takeaway: aluminum spot prices were at four-year highs in mid-April and are unlikely to fall sharply in the near term.
Spot aluminum is up more than 60% from 2025’s low and is on track to challenge record levels by year-end. Analysts who forecasted oversupply at the start of 2026 have reversed course, raising price targets as demand imbalances emerge. Deficits are now being cited, driven by transportation, construction, packaging, and electrical sectors. Data centers are a notable contributor: they rely on aluminum for infrastructure and are expected to drive well over 1 million tonnes of combined aluminum and copper demand by 2030—equivalent to roughly 130 basis points (about 1.3 percentage points) of incremental market growth on their own.
Analysts Respond Favorably to Alcoa’s Q1 Report—Buy the Dip
Analysts reacted positively to Alcoa’s report. The first notable update was a reaffirmation from BMO Capital Markets, which maintained a Market Perform rating and a $75 price target, calling the Q1 miss explainable and expecting much stronger Q2 results. The central point is aluminum pricing, which currently favors the company.
Subsequent analyst notes align with broader trends: consensus remains a Hold based on 12 ratings but with a bullish skew—41% of ratings are Buy—and upward revisions to price targets. The consensus target (as of mid-April) provides a floor in the low $60s and rose more than 20% in the month before the report. High-end targets are consistent with trading near record highs.
Institutional investors are likely buyers on any dip. MarketBeat data show institutions own roughly 85% of the stock and have been net accumulators over the trailing 12 months (TTM). The TTM activity indicates about $4 purchased for each $1 sold—a significant tailwind— with buying activity ramping in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 to multi-year highs. With that ownership profile, downside appears limited, and a technical floor of about $60–$65 coincides with analyst consensus.
Alcoa Market Pulls Back to Touch Base With Reality: Higher Prices Ahead
Alcoa’s stock price fell after the Q1 release, suggesting a short-term top. That top is likely temporary and could be cleared by midyear or shortly thereafter. In the interim, a deeper pullback is possible, but meaningful support is likely in the $60–$65 range. A decline below $60 would be bearish, but not necessarily a deal-breaker given early-2026 trading ranges and the 150-day exponential moving average; technicals suggest critical support could fall as low as $54.50 and that support appears to be strengthening. A move into that support band would likely provoke a strong market response—the main uncertainty is how deep the retracement will be before buyers step in.
Key catalysts include restarts of critical assets. Alcoa’s Q1 results were affected by seasonally expected shutdowns and the restart of its San Ciprián facility. San Ciprián is not expected to be cash flow neutral until 2027, but its restart should lower production costs across the network and positively influence 2026 results. The primary risk remains Alcoa’s high beta—at roughly 1.7, the stock tends to be more volatile than the broader market.
3 Low-Volatility ETFs for Peace of Mind in Turbulent Times
By Nathan Reiff. Publication Date: 4/13/2026.
Key Points
- ETFs aiming for low volatility can take multiple approaches, including screening for stocks that are less susceptible to market turbulence or focusing on bonds.
- LVHI is a rare low-volatility fund that has a strong track record of performance YTD on top of a healthy dividend yield of around 4%.
- JEPI's overlayed options approach on top of a low-volatility S&P 500 stock strategy has caused its dividend yield to soar above 8%.
- Special Report: The Biggest IPO Ever: Claim Your Stake Today
Amid uncertainty about the future trajectory of the war in Iran, the possibility of a ceasefire, and the potential implications for oil prices and the broader market, it's understandable that many investors are seeking stability. In volatile times, it can make sense to consider exchange-traded funds (ETFs) specifically designed for lower volatility.
Under normal circumstances, and especially during a bull market, investors often avoid low-volatility ETFs except as a defensive play. These funds are designed to move less than the market—so when markets rally, they can lag higher-risk strategies. But when turbulence threatens to erase long-term gains, low-volatility ETFs can help preserve capital and income.
LVHI Offers Both a Strong Dividend and Defense Against Volatility
The Franklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF (BATS: LVHI) tracks an index of equities chosen for their combination of high dividends, steady earnings and low volatility. Its portfolio size is flexible—typically ranging from about 50 to 150 stocks—allowing the fund to adapt as companies meet or fall out of its screening criteria.
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Get your free Opening Bell Breakouts trade guide hereLVHI is noteworthy because it focuses exclusively on stocks in developed markets outside the United States. Investors with a domestic bias may find it provides useful international diversification, although several of the top holdings—such as energy giant Shell PLC (NYSE: SHEL) and pharmaceutical leader Novartis (NYSE: NVS)—may already be familiar to many investors.
Despite its low-volatility focus, LVHI has delivered an impressive performance so far in 2026, gaining almost 12% year-to-date (YTD). Its 4.1% dividend yield underscores its emphasis on high-yield names, offering a potential dual benefit of income and downside protection. The fund's expense ratio is 0.40%, which may be reasonable given its recent results.
A Combination of Low-Volatility S&P Names and Call Options for Income
There are other ways to pursue lower volatility. The JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (NYSEARCA: JEPI) uses a two-fold approach: it selects lower-volatility stocks and overlays an options strategy intended to generate monthly distributions. Writing call options can limit upside if holdings rally, but it also helps produce steady income—consistent with the fund's defensive orientation.
JEPI is actively managed and charges an annual fee of 0.35%, which many investors find compelling given its income profile. The fund has produced an dividend yield of 8.3%, reflecting the effectiveness of its options overlay. Its portfolio—more than 100 stocks—draws from the S&P 500, making JEPI's yield attractive compared with other equity-focused income funds.
Given its focus on income and downside management, JEPI does not have the same return profile as a pure growth fund. Still, it has outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date, posting a gain of just under 1%.
A Middle-of-the-Road Approach to Balancing Bond Yields and Risk
Another way to reduce portfolio volatility is to shift away from equities. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: IEF) invests in intermediate-term U.S. Treasurys, a segment that sits between short- and long-duration bonds in interest-rate sensitivity. IEF may not be the most defensive bond choice, but it can offer a balance between yield and interest-rate risk for investors willing to accept some duration exposure.
IEF currently offers a dividend yield of 3.8% and carries a modest expense ratio of 0.15%. Interest-rate risk is related to market volatility, though short-term market swings may not immediately translate into changes in rates.
For investors seeking even lower volatility within the Treasury market, shorter-duration funds are an alternative. For example, the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: SHY) targets a different slice of the yield curve and charges the same annual fee, trading a small portion of yield for reduced interest-rate sensitivity (SHY's dividend yield sits at about 3.7%).
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