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Roger Scott
Opendoor Pops After Earnings, But the Big Question Hasn't Changed
By Chris Markoch. Article Posted: 2/22/2026.
Key Points
- Opendoor beat revenue expectations but posted a larger-than-expected loss, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
- The company’s “Opendoor 2.0” strategy focuses on faster inventory turns, AI-driven pricing, and breakeven adjusted net income by 2026.
- Institutional sentiment and sector rotation will likely determine whether OPEN stock can sustain momentum.
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Stock commentary often leans on sports metaphors—and with good reason. That's true for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: OPEN).
Opendoor reported its Q4 2025 earnings after the market closed. The results were mixed, but that was enough for investors to push OPEN stock up 14% in after-hours trading.
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The theme of the earnings report (marketed as an Open House) was: Opendoor 2.0 Does What It Said It Would Do — Delivering Acquisition Growth, Faster Inventory Turns, and Stronger Cohorts.
Management outlined progress on a four-step plan to transform the business with three stated goals:
- Reach breakeven Adjusted Net Income by the end of 2026 on a 12-month go-forward basis
- Drive positive unit economics while increasing transaction velocity
- Transition to direct-to-consumer relationships and expand the product suite
The report was encouraging, but progress is relative: Opendoor remains unprofitable and still generates limited revenue.
Put another way, this felt like surviving the first quarter of a four-quarter game. You can't win the game in quarter one, but you can lose it. Opendoor hasn't lost yet — but what does winning look like?
Mixed Earnings Won't Move the Needle Much
On the top line, Opendoor reported revenue of $736 million, beating expectations of $591.75 million. However, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) missed badly: the company reported a loss of $1.26 per share versus an expected loss of $0.08.
Both revenue and earnings were sharply lower year over year. As a single-quarter data point, that's not devastating — management turnover and a turnaround take time. Bulls will also note the year-over-year revenue miss was not as bad as feared.
Call that a point for Opendoor.
The Business Model Has a Proven Achilles Heel
Opendoor went public in 2020 amid the meme-stock craze. The iBuyer promised to reshape home buying and selling by offering liquidity and convenience: instant cash offers for homeowners who want to avoid listings, showings, and uncertain timelines, with the intent to resell quickly. Growth hinges on resale speed.
That engine is powered by algorithmic pricing models to decide what to pay sellers, how to price for resale, and which markets to enter. While the company didn't use modern AI from the start, it now incorporates AI as part of its turnaround strategy to improve efficiency.
The limitation is the same as any model: output is only as good as the historical data it's trained on. If market conditions shift faster than the model adapts, the company can be left holding depreciating inventory.
That happened in 2022. Rising interest rates and a rapidly cooling housing market left Opendoor with inventory purchased at much higher prices. The company recorded large losses, and the stock plunged from above $12 at the start of the year to under $1 by year-end.
Retail investors often say "this time it's different," but that can be dangerous. Interest rates would likely need to move significantly lower to "unfreeze" the housing market, and recent Fed minutes suggest that's unlikely.
The takeaway for investors is caution. AI can improve pricing, but it can't change the underlying market. Opendoor went public into an unprecedented housing bull market and survived the downturn — but the new equilibrium is still uncertain.
That's why Opendoor keeps playing — and this earnings report lets it continue doing so.
How Should Retail Investors View OPEN Stock?
Keep in mind the more than 200% gains in the last 12 months were aided by heavy institutional buying in the third and fourth quarters of last year.
That momentum appeared to fade as the year closed. Short interest rose, signaling that larger investors viewed the stock as overextended. That sentiment persisted into 2026, and OPEN was down just over 20% before this report.
The bottom line: OPEN likely needs renewed institutional buying to move materially higher. With evidence of a broader sector rotation away from tech stocks, there may be limited appetite for a name that delivered a good—but not great—report.
Opendoor remains a speculative investment. The company is still trying to prove its business model can work at scale. There's still time on the clock, but investors will need patience and conviction.
Is SentinelOne's Sell-Off a Warning Sign or an Opportunity?
Reported by Nathan Reiff. Published: 2/18/2026.
Key Points
- SentinelOne is a smaller cybersecurity firm whose shares have fallen by 43% over the last year.
- Despite threats from much larger competitors, the firm retains strong financial metrics, including growing ARR and competitive margins.
- Despite a strategic acquisition and a newly expanded platform focused on threats to AI systems, SentinelOne has faced increasing short interest, potentially opening opportunities for those bullish on the stock.
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While cybersecurity remains a massive market—and one that is likely to expand rapidly as AI proliferates—a small number of companies dominate the space. Just two firms currently account for a large portion of the combined market value among cybersecurity companies with market caps above $100 million: Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) and CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWD). After those leaders, numerous smaller firms continue to jostle for position in a crowded field.
SentinelOne Inc. (NYSE: S) has a market capitalization below $5 billion and is often overlooked by investors scanning cybersecurity names. Compounding concerns, the shares are down more than 40% in the past year.
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Still, analysts are generally bullish: SentinelOne has 18 Buy ratings versus 13 combined Hold or Sell ratings, and Wall Street's consensus price target of $21.72 implies roughly 56% upside from current trading levels.
With improving financials, steady growth, a strategic focus on a potentially lucrative niche, and a platform gaining wider adoption, SentinelOne may be a smaller cybersecurity player worth watching.
SentinelOne's Financial Position Affirmed By Healthy Guidance, ARR Growth
In SentinelOne's Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report for the period ended Oct. 31, 2025, management reaffirmed full-year guidance, including about $1 billion in revenue—roughly 22% year-over-year growth. Gross margins are projected in the high-70s, and the company is on track to generate positive free cash flow for the fiscal year.
Some of that optimism stems from SentinelOne's annual recurring revenue (ARR), which jumped 23% year over year in the quarter. The company also beat analyst earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates by $0.02, while revenue came in above expectations.
User and Demand Growth Continues
To sustain or accelerate its gains, SentinelOne needs to keep attracting both repeat and new customers. Its Singularity XDR platform has broad appeal and is building momentum: platform ARR per customer reached a company high last quarter amid accelerating data bookings and rising cloud security bookings.
Growth has not been purely organic. SentinelOne completed a $225 million acquisition of Observo AI, a move that strengthens its telemetry pipeline compared with similarly sized rivals.
AI-Focused Cybersecurity to Meet Developing Needs
In early February, SentinelOne expanded its security platform to include Data Security Posture Management (DSPM) capabilities. The update helps secure AI systems by preventing the ingestion of sensitive data at runtime—especially important as AI becomes embedded across internal and external systems. DSPM should help organizations keep high-risk information out of their models, stopping threats before they occur.
Although SentinelOne has long used AI in its products, its push to secure AI systems directly is a notable shift that could raise its profile as AI adoption accelerates. With increased AI usage likely to bring new attack vectors, successfully defending against those threats could win SentinelOne additional customers seeking protection.
Is It Time to Buy the Dip?
With a price-to-sales ratio below 5, SentinelOne looks cheaper than it has in some time. That makes a persuasive case that now could be an opportunity to buy this underappreciated cybersecurity name. However, investors have been more cautious: besides the recent sell-off, short interest has risen nearly 9% over the past month (source).
Despite its relative cheapness, SentinelOne faces risks as a smaller firm in a fast-developing, highly competitive cybersecurity market. Conversely, its growth potential could reward investors willing to accept a higher degree of risk on a SentinelOne bet.
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