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AVGO Earnings Are Just Around the Corner—Here's What to Watch
Reported by Leo Miller. Date Posted: 2/24/2026.
Key Points
- Broadcom shares haven't done much as of late, bouncing between $310 and $355.
- Aside from sales, adjusted EPS and guidance, investors will be paying close attention to one key profitability metric.
- Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts continue to be highly optimistic on the future of AVGO shares.
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After releasing its last earnings report, shares of custom artificial intelligence (AI) chip designer Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) have been range-bound. The stock fell from above $400 to roughly $340 in mid-December 2025.
Shares recovered to about $355 in mid-January, only to drop below $310 by early February. With a little more than a week until Broadcom releases the first earnings report of its fiscal year (FY) 2026, the stock is trading near $330.
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Broadcom's December report raised investor concern about an area the company is usually known to excel at: margins. With no game-changing developments since then, those concerns have persisted, leaving markets uncertain about how to price AVGO shares.
Here's a preview of the upcoming report and the key metrics and commentary investors will be watching. Broadcom will release its Q1 FY2026 results on Wednesday, March 4, after the market close.
AVGO: Prolific at Meeting or Beating Headline Estimates
Currently, the Wall Street consensus estimate for Broadcom's Q1 FY2026 revenue is $19.1 billion, about 28% year-over-year growth. This aligns with Broadcom's own guidance of "approximately $19.1 billion."
On adjusted earnings per share (EPS), the consensus forecast is $2.03, roughly a 26% increase year over year. Broadcom does not typically provide adjusted EPS guidance.
Broadcom's guidance tends to be conservative, making it likely the company will meet or exceed these headline estimates.
The company has exceeded or matched sales estimates in 22 of its last 24 earnings reports and has met or beaten adjusted EPS estimates on 23 of those occasions.
Even so, for a stock that has run up as much as Broadcom has, beating headline estimates does not guarantee a positive market reaction. There's also always the possibility of an unexpected miss.
Q2 FY2026 guidance, margin trends, and management commentary will be critical to how shares react. Current sales estimates for Q2 are $20.35 billion (about 36% year-over-year growth). Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margin guidance sits at 68.5% for Q2 FY2026.
In Focus: AVGO's Gross Margin Performance and Outlook
The biggest concern from Broadcom's last report was the direction of its gross margin. Last quarter, Broadcom's gross margin was nearly 78%, among the highest of U.S. large-cap chip stocks.
On the last earnings call, management said, "we expect Q1 consolidated gross margin to be down approximately 100 basis points sequentially, primarily reflecting a higher mix of AI revenue. As a reminder, consolidated gross margins through the year will be impacted by the revenue mix of infrastructure software and semiconductors and also product mix within semiconductors."
Put simply: AI sales tend to have lower gross margins than non-AI sales. Because AI revenue is growing faster than other segments, overall gross margins are expected to decline.
Investors will likely want to see Broadcom report gross margins near 77% or better. Analysts on the call will also be looking for clearer guidance on how much further margins might fall over the rest of the year.
Analysts Continue to See Strong Upside in AVGO Shares
Heading into the report, Wall Street analysts remain mostly bullish on Broadcom. The consensus price target is near $433, implying roughly 30% upside. Targets revised after the December 2025 report average about $458, implying roughly 38% upside.
Besides Citigroup trimming its target from $480 to $458, MarketBeat has not tracked analysts cutting their AVGO targets after the December report. That contrasts with the stock's price action, which is down more than 15% since that report.
The gap largely reflects analysts being less worried about gross-margin pressure than many investors. Broadcom expects operating margin to decline only "a bit," even if gross margins fall meaningfully.
Operating margin includes more costs than gross margin and is a better measure of overall profitability. If revenue growth offsets a gross-margin reduction and operating margin remains relatively steady, absolute profits can still rise substantially.
If gross-margin declines begin to erode operating margins materially, then concern would be justified. At present, evidence supporting that outcome is limited. Still, analysts and investors will be watching Broadcom's upcoming report closely for clarity on this key issue.
Can Analog Devices Really Hit $400 This Year?
Reported by Thomas Hughes. Date Posted: 2/18/2026.
Key Points
- Analog Devices has a strengthening tailwind from end-market normalization and data center demand.
- Guidance is of "wow" quality and is likely to be cautious.
- Analysts are lifting price targets, pointing to fresh highs this year.
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Analog Devices’ (NASDAQ: ADI) share price could top $400 this year, driven by an improving outlook that was bolstered by the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report.
End-market normalization is becoming a strong tailwind as AI boosts datacenter and broader semiconductor demand. For ADI investors, that implies sustained, accelerating growth, wider margins, and stronger cash flow to support capital returns.
Analog Devices Reports 4th Quarter of Accelerating Growth: Guidance Wows
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Analog Devices delivered a strong quarter, with growth across all end markets. The company reported $3.16 billion in net revenue, a 30.6% year-over-year increase that outpaced consensus by 130 basis points. Segmentally, Industrial and Communications (which includes the data center business) led with gains of 38% and 63%, respectively.
Automotive was the weakest segment, up 8%, while Consumer grew an impressive 27%.
Margins were a highlight. The company widened its GAAP margin by a quadruple-digit amount and its adjusted margin by a triple-digit amount. Adjusted gross margin improved by 240 basis points, and adjusted operating margin rose by 500 basis points, helping drive a 52% increase in adjusted earnings and robust free cash flow.
Operating cash flow improved 43% on a trailing 12-month basis, while free cash flow rose 39% to more than $4.5 billion.
Strong free cash flow is critical because it supports reinvestment, capital returns, and balance-sheet maintenance.
Guidance was the market catalyst. The company’s forecast for Q2 revenue and earnings sat significantly above consensus even at the low end of the range—implying at least 500 basis points of outperformance versus expectations and more than 1,000 basis points at the high end. Given the results and clear momentum, Analog Devices is likely to land near the high end of its guidance, if not exceed it.
Analog Devices Capital Return Is Dialing in on Dividend Aristocrat Status
Analog Devices' capital return strategy is notable, particularly its history of dividend increases. The company announced its 22nd consecutive annual dividend increase alongside the fiscal Q1 release, sustaining a low-double-digit distribution CAGR and putting it on track to become a Dividend Aristocrat by the end of the decade. (Note that the company's fiscal reporting period does not align with the calendar year.)
Inclusion in the Dividend Aristocrats index would likely broaden ownership—especially buy-and-hold institutional ownership—which tends to reduce volatility. Until then, the dividend appears secure at under 50% of projected earnings and yields a market-average 1.15% as of the pre-release close.
Share repurchases are also meaningful. Q1 buybacks reduced the share count by roughly 1.4% year over year and are expected to continue at a similar pace through the year. The balance sheet shows no red flags: cash and current assets increased, long-term debt declined, and equity remained steady. Leverage is low, with cash up 16% year-to-date and long-term debt roughly 2.5 times the cash balance and about 0.2 times equity.
Analyst Trends Drive Analog Devices’ Market Sentiment
The initial analyst reaction to Analog Devices’ FQ1 report has been bullish, continuing the recent trend. Price-target increases from Stifel Nicolaus and Cantor Fitzgerald pushed the stock toward the top of the target range; Cantor’s $400 target aligns with the current high and implies roughly 18% upside from the pre-release level, which could be reached before midyear.
MarketBeat data shows strong analyst coverage—29 analysts tracked, up from last year—with a firming Moderate Buy consensus and rising price targets.
Institutional activity also looks constructive. Although institutional selling picked up over the past 12 months, quarterly net flows remained positive throughout the year and stayed favorable in early 2026.
In the first six weeks of the year, purchases exceeded sales by more than $1.50 for each $1 sold, a clear tailwind for the stock given its roughly 87% institutional ownership rate.
Short sellers do not seem to pose a major risk. Short interest is low—below 2%—and has been declining as of early February.
Analog Devices Rockets Higher on Strong Results
Analog Devices jumped more than 5% in premarket trading after the release, reflecting market surprise. The rally could continue, but profit-taking might cap near-term gains. In that case, ADI could consolidate at its new highs or pull back before resuming an upward trend and setting fresh highs.
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