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Gold at $5,000—3 Mining Stocks for the Next Gold Rush
Authored by Chris Markoch. Publication Date: 1/27/2026.
In Brief
- Gold futures have crossed the $5,000 level, signaling a potentially new long-term trading range for the metal.
- Large-cap miners like Newmont offer stability, while mid- and small-cap miners provide asymmetric upside to gold prices.
- Even with potential pullbacks in gold, many miners remain highly profitable, supporting continued investor interest.
The spot price of gold climbed above the $5,000 mark for the first time in futures trading on Jan. 25. The move is psychologically significant and hits the "big number" many analysts have been predicting.
Many analysts believe gold is poised to climb much higher. At the same time, several concede that the move to over $5,000 came faster than expected, so a pullback before further gains is possible.
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On September 14th, 2023, something big happened that didn't make the news. The price gap between London gold and Shanghai gold blew out to $120 an ounce. For years, that gap was a few dollars, maybe $5 or $10. A 20x jump in seconds isn't a glitch, it's the system breaking. Traders tried to buy gold in London to sell in Shanghai, but hit a wall. The London vaults were empty. Since that day, gold has hit 53 all-time highs. One stock is positioned to capture the bulk of this wealth transfer.
See the full story on this opportunity now.That matters for investors who want to own physical gold. Meanwhile, mining stocks have been a strong trade over the past 12 months, and many analysts expect that strength to continue into 2026.
One reason is that even if the spot price of gold slips 5% or 10%, many gold miners would remain profitable. To some investors, that suggests buying large-cap, best-in-class miners. That's a reasonable approach, but looking at select mid-cap and small-cap miners can offer enticing upside as well.
Newmont: Best-in-Class Exposure to a Higher Gold Regime
For investors seeking best-in-class exposure among mining stocks, it's tough to beat Newmont Gold Corp. (NYSE: NEM). The company is one of the world's leading gold miners, which shows up in the company's revenue and earnings.
Through the first three quarters of 2025, Newmont's revenue was up 21% year-over-year (YOY), and earnings per share (EPS) rose 111% YOY. Analysts expect EPS growth to slow to about 10% in the next 12 months, which is sensible given tougher year-ago comparisons.
Over a longer horizon, analysts forecast average annual EPS growth near 60% over the next five years, in part on expectations that gold is entering a multi-year higher trading range.
With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio around 19x, NEM is expensive relative to its historical norms. But historical valuation comparisons may understate fair value for high-quality producers like Newmont.
B2Gold: New Production Brings Asymmetric Growth Potential
A compelling feature of large miners is production that is already in the ground. For investors focused on revenue and earnings fundamentals, that's attractive. But miners still adding new production can offer asymmetric upside, which is part of the pitch for B2Gold Corp. (NYSEAMERICAN: BTG).
B2Gold recently announced commercial production at its Goose Mine in Canada and projects the site will deliver 300,000 ounces annually by 2027. That is the latest commercially viable project in B2Gold's portfolio, which includes three active mines, two others in development and additional sites under exploration.
Analysts forecast roughly $1.15 billion in revenue — an impressive year-over-year gain of more than 130% — but that is still only about 20% of Newmont's revenue. BTG stock is up 127% in the last 12 months and 21% so far in 2026, leaving limited room for disappointment. With earnings due Feb. 18, the next catalyst will be whether results and guidance justify the rally and prompt analysts to become more constructive.
TRX Gold: High-Risk, High-Reward Junior Miner
For risk-tolerant investors seeking asymmetric upside, TRX Gold Corp. (NYSEAMERICAN: TRX) is a small-cap junior miner with a market cap of roughly $385 million.
The company is not yet consistently profitable but is generating revenue; in its most recent quarter it reported record revenue and improved profit. However, that performance is tied to a single asset — its Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania — which concentrates risk.
TRX is using free cash flow from recent results to fund expansion, but it is unhedged. If the spot price of gold reverses, TRX would face downside pressure. Conversely, if you believe gold has a long runway, TRX could behave like a lottery ticket with meaningful upside potential.
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