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Williams Companies Stock Climbs as Investors Focus on Gas Demand
Submitted by Chris Markoch. Published: 2/11/2026.
What You Need to Know
- Williams Companies reported mixed Q4 earnings, but both revenue and EPS were part of record full-year results.
- Strong long-term demand for natural gas from AI, LNG exports, and U.S. industrial reshoring supports the bullish thesis.
- WMB stock looks technically stretched, but the broader uptrend suggests the rally may not be over.
Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB) stock is up about 1.8% in midday trading after the company reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results. The headline numbers were mixed.
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.55 came in $0.02 below the forecast of $0.57. Revenue of $3.2 billion, however, topped the $3.1 billion estimate.
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Normally, that combination might pressure a stock, but both figures are part of the company's record results.
When you're posting record results, investors often give some leeway for narrowly missing a low bar.
It's been a mixed season for energy stocks—especially for integrated oil majors—but Williams operates in the midstream sector.
Williams transports natural gas and natural gas liquids across the United States and delivers about one-third of the country's natural gas.
Investing in the Here and Now
Investors are often told to skate to where the puck is going. In 2026, that has meant renewed interest in nuclear energy. Even with an administration looking to ease permitting, a meaningful nuclear build-out will take years because of regulatory and construction timelines.
The bullish case for Williams Companies centers on rising natural gas demand. In its Analyst Day presentation, the company cited a Wood Mackenzie North America Gas report forecasting a roughly 35% increase in natural gas demand over the next decade. The three primary catalysts are:
- Industrialization: Demand driven by reshoring of U.S. energy-intensive manufacturing.
- Power generation: Increased energy needs to support data centers and infrastructure for artificial intelligence (AI).
- LNG growth: Williams is a major exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), which remains critical for many global economies.
Put simply: nuclear and oil may play important roles longer term, but in the near to intermediate term natural gas looks set to drive meaningful growth.
WMB Stock Looks Stretched, But May Not Be Done
WMB stock has broken out to new highs, riding a strong uptrend supported by both the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The 50-day sits above the 200-day, and both are sloping higher, confirming the primary bullish trend. Price is trading well above these key averages, signaling strong demand and a tendency among investors to buy modest dips rather than wait for deep pullbacks.
That said, the stock is beginning to look stretched. The relative strength index (RSI)—not shown—is near 70, which suggests the shares are approaching overbought territory. With the stock making new 52-week highs and finding support at those levels, this may be a consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the bullish trend.
A Less Favorable Risk-Reward Profile, But a Bullish Trend for WMB
It's also worth noting that WMB stock is now trading above its consensus price target. Analysts remain generally bullish, and the shares are within roughly 10% of the $76 price target issued by Jefferies on Feb. 3.
For investors, that creates a nuanced setup: after a strong run the risk-reward for initiating new positions is less attractive, but the underlying trend argues against aggressively calling a top. A constructive approach is to respect the uptrend while acknowledging the stock may need time to digest recent gains.
Pullbacks toward the rising 50-day moving average could offer more attractive entry points, while the 200-day moving average provides a longer-term level of support that would test the bullish thesis. In other words, WMB looks overextended in the near term, but the technical backdrop suggests the advance may not be finished yet.
Generac Stock Rallies: Why AI Matters More Than Earnings
Author: Jeffrey Neal Johnson. First Published: 2/13/2026.
In Brief
- Generac is successfully pivoting its business model to become a primary supplier of backup power solutions for hyperscale data centers, driving the artificial intelligence boom.
- Management issued optimistic forward guidance that projects significant revenue growth in the commercial and industrial segment for the upcoming fiscal year.
- The company is aggressively expanding its manufacturing capacity and has secured a robust order backlog to meet the surging demand for critical infrastructure power.
On Feb. 12, 2026, Wall Street saw a striking market paradox: shares of Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE: GNRC) jumped roughly 18%, trading near $214.84, immediately after the company reported fourth-quarter results that missed analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines.
At first glance this seems counterintuitive. Generac reported revenue of $1.09 billion (below the $1.16 billion estimate) and adjusted earnings of $1.61 per share (missing the $1.81 forecast), typically results that would weigh on the stock. Yet the shares hit new 52-week highs.
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The distinction comes down to backward-looking results versus forward-looking potential. Investors largely dismissed the soft late-2025 performance as temporary weather-related weakness and instead bought into the company's bullish 2026 outlook. The market is betting that Generac is shifting from a seasonal, storm-driven business into a critical infrastructure partner for the artificial intelligence (AI) era.
The AI Power Pivot: Data Centers Demand Energy
The main catalyst for the rally was projected growth in Generac's Commercial & Industrial (C&I) segment. Management guided for roughly 30% C&I growth in 2026 — a sharp acceleration driven almost entirely by hyperscale data center demand.
As AI models grow more complex, the data centers that host them draw unprecedented amounts of electricity and cannot tolerate downtime. At the same time, the U.S. power grid is under strain: a North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) report warned that nearly half of the U.S. population lives in regions at risk of power shortfalls over the next five years.
This grid instability creates a significant opportunity for Generac. During the earnings call, management highlighted several developments that support the strategy:
- Pilot programs: Generac is in pilot stage with two major hyperscalers to provide backup power solutions.
- Backlog growth: The order backlog for industrial products has swollen to about $400 million.
- Capacity expansion: The company is ramping up its Wisconsin manufacturing facility to exceed $1 billion in production capacity.
About 25% of the projected C&I growth reflects the recent acquisition of Allmand, a mobile power equipment manufacturer. Closed on Jan. 5, 2026, the purchase adds immediate capacity and market share in the mobile rental segment, helping Generac meet surging industrial demand.
Margins, Buybacks, and Lower Rates
Beyond specific segments, the broader 2026 financial outlook reassured investors. Management expects total net sales to grow in the mid-teens, a meaningful reversal from 2025's decline.
The board also approved a new $500 million share repurchase program, signaling confidence management is willing to deploy capital to reduce share count — a commonly bullish signal.
Key financial drivers for 2026 include:
- Margin expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margins are forecast to expand to 18%–19%.
- Lower interest costs: With easing rates, interest expense is expected to fall to $65 million–$69 million in 2026.
- Free cash flow: The company projects roughly $350 million in free cash flow for the year.
Rising margins, lower debt costs, and active buybacks create a constructive setup for earnings growth, helping investors look past the disappointing fourth quarter.
Clearing the Decks: Why the Loss Didn't Matter
Understanding the bullish response requires examining why the fourth-quarter numbers were weak. Residential product sales fell 23% as fewer severe storms and outages occurred in late 2025. For a home-generator maker, benign weather is a headwind, but investors typically treat weather-driven swings as cyclical.
The quarter also included a one-time $104.5 million provision tied to a product-liability settlement, which resulted in a GAAP net loss of $24 million for the period.
Rather than alarm investors, the charge was largely interpreted as "clearing the decks." Settling the liability removes a significant legal overhang and the uncertainty that accompanies it. Many investors prefer a near-term hit to eliminate the risk of lingering litigation costs, allowing the company's operational story for 2026 to take center stage.
From Storm Chaser to Grid Saver
The sharp rise in Generac's stock price reflects a shift in how the market values the company. Once treated as a weather-sensitive stock, Generac is increasingly viewed as a critical infrastructure play that supports the energy transition and the AI-driven data economy.
Market mechanics likely amplified the move. Leading into the report, short interest stood at roughly 7.1%, so the sudden price jump likely forced some short-covering, accelerating the rally.
Valuation remains a key consideration: trading at about 40 times trailing earnings, the stock is priced for substantial growth. To justify that premium, Generac must execute on its data-center strategy. With legal distractions addressed, a sizeable backlog, and a clear plan to power the data economy, the market appears to be betting that Generac's best days lie ahead. The paradox of an earnings-miss rally boils down to a simple truth: investors care more about where a company is headed than where it has been.
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