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More Reading from MarketBeat Media Beyond the Box: How FedEx Is Winning as Tech SlumpsAuthor: Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Date Posted: 2/20/2026. 
Key Points- The planned separation of the freight business is expected to unlock significant shareholder value by removing the conglomerate discount.
- Network integration and fleet modernization are driving structural cost reductions while improving operational efficiency across the board.
- A strategic acquisition in Europe is positioning the company to capture global e-commerce growth through a vast network of automated parcel lockers.
- Special Report: This makes me furious (From The Oxford Club)
The Winter of 2026 has brought a distinct chill to the technology sector, with investors increasingly questioning the sky-high valuations of software and artificial intelligence (AI) companies. Yet, amid this Software-mageddon, a different kind of giant is heating up. On Feb. 17, 2026, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) reached a new intraday high of $381.99, signaling a decisive shift in market sentiment. Investors should see this as more than a random blip. Over the last 30 days, FedEx's stock price has gained more than 21%, decoupling from the broader transportation index and leaving its primary rival, United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), in the rearview mirror. This divergence illustrates a flight to quality — a rotation of capital from speculative tech into industrial companies with tangible assets, visible cash flows and concrete plans to unlock shareholder value. The market appears to be betting that FedEx's ambitious restructuring is no longer just a PowerPoint; it is already showing up in the company's financial results. The June Catalyst: Why Two Stocks Are Better Than OneI Called Black Monday. Now I'm Calling March 26!
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Now I'm staking my reputation on March 26, 2026 - the day I believe Elon will announce the SpaceX IPO.
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A $1.5 TRILLION valuation... the "wealth-building" moment of the decade.
Today, I'll show you how to get in before the big announcement. Click Here to See How to Secure Your "SpaceX Access Code" The most immediate fuel for this rally is financial engineering. FedEx has confirmed it will spin off its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) unit, FedEx Freight, into a standalone public company. The transaction is scheduled to be executed on June 1, 2026. For years, investors have argued FedEx suffered from a conglomerate discount — the complex whole valued at less than the sum of its parts. FedEx Freight is a high-margin business, generating approximately $8.9 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025. By separating it, FedEx lets the market value the freight business as a premium trucking carrier (which typically trades at higher multiples) and the parcel business as a streamlined logistics operator. The spin-off will be a tax-free distribution of shares, meaning current FedEx shareholders will soon own stock in two distinct entities: the legacy FedEx Corp and the soon-to-be-listed FDXF on the NYSE. To ensure the new company is taken seriously, FedEx has appointed seasoned leaders to run it, with R. Brad Martin as Chairman and John A. Smith as CEO. That clarity has removed a major layer of uncertainty and given institutional investors the green light to buy. Cutting Costs, Not Corners: Network 2.0 and the Air OverhaulWhile the spin-off unlocks financial value, the company's DRIVE program is reshaping operations. Management says it is on track to deliver $1 billion in permanent cost reductions this fiscal year alone. The cornerstone of that effort is Network 2.0. Historically, FedEx ran two parallel networks — Express (air) and Ground — which was inefficient and sometimes meant multiple FedEx drivers visiting the same office park on the same day. Network 2.0 merges those capabilities into a single, surface-first logistics system. The company is aggressively closing redundant facilities, targeting the shuttering of more than 475 stations by 2027. We are seeing this in real time: FedEx recently confirmed the closure of its Ship Center in Bloomington, Indiana (effective Feb. 28, 2026), and another in Springfield, Missouri (effective March 28, 2026). Those actions immediately reduce overhead and demonstrate the plan is being executed. Simultaneously, FedEx is redefining its air strategy with a Tricolor network design: - Purple: Owned jets flying overnight for high-priority packages.
- Orange: Owned jets flying during the day (off-cycle) for deferred freight.
- White: Partner capacity for lower-yield volumes.
Crucially, FedEx is taking a different path than UPS on fleet utilization. While UPS recently retired its MD-11 aircraft, FedEx announced it will return its grounded MD-11 fleet to service by May 31, 2026. The MD-11 offers massive cargo density; operated on the Orange daytime network, these aircraft can move heavy, less-urgent freight cheaply without overloading the premium overnight Purple network. It's a strategy focused on asset utilization rather than pure speed. Playing Offense: Solving the Europe Puzzle and Beating UPSThe divergence between FedEx and UPS has arguably never been wider. In the most recent quarter, FedEx grew revenue by 6.8%, while UPS's revenue fell 3.3%. UPS is currently in a shrink-to-grow mode, cutting 12,000 management jobs in an effort to protect margins. FedEx, conversely, is reducing structural inefficiencies while aggressively taking market share in premium segments. Nowhere is that aggression more visible than in Europe. Historically, FedEx struggled to turn a profit on European residential deliveries because of high labor and fuel costs. The solution: a consortium-led acquisition of InPost S.A., valuing the company at €7.8 billion ($9.2 billion). This deal is a strategic move for last-mile economics. InPost operates over 60,000 automated parcel lockers across Europe. Delivering 50 packages to a single locker bank is far cheaper than driving a van to 50 separate homes. By acquiring a 37% stake and integrating this network, FedEx avoids the doorstep-delivery trap that erodes margins, blunts Amazon's (NASDAQ: AMZN) infrastructure advantage in the region and provides a low-cost delivery option many European consumers prefer. A Defensive Growth FortressDespite trading at record highs, FedEx does not look expensive relative to its growth potential. The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of roughly 20.7x, which is attractive compared with the 30x–40x multiples common in the tech sector. Wall Street analysts are adjusting: Jefferies raised its price target to $425 and Wells Fargo to $430, implying further upside. Investors should remain aware of risks. Pilot contract negotiations are still in federal mediation, and global trade tensions — specifically the removal of the de minimis exemption on low-value imports from China — have created about a $150 million headwind. FedEx has sought to mitigate these risks by shifting capacity toward Southeast Asia and Europe. Ultimately, FedEx has evolved from a cyclical barometer of the economy into a self-help story of structural transformation. With the June spin-off acting as a clear catalyst and Network 2.0 driving margin expansion, FDX offers a rare combination of industrial safety and growth-equity upside. In a market wary of AI bubbles, FedEx is delivering what investors want: real profits, real assets and a visible roadmap to value.
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