For years, Trump criticized crypto.
Yet now, his family is quietly amassing a fortune from it.
- Mining exposure.
- A growing digital asset ecosystem.
- Even a stablecoin infrastructure reportedly circulating billions.
And recently, an affiliated entity even reportedly applied for federal trust authority.
That's not a campaign statement.
That's positioning.
And if approval comes through, it would represent a meaningful bridge between crypto and regulated U.S. banking infrastructure.
I put together a simple breakdown of this opportunity in my newest briefing here.
Including exactly:
- What's happening
- What stage it's in currently
- And one specific crypto positioned perfectly if this expansion accelerates.
This isn't about headlines.
It's about structure.
See my full breakdown here.
To your massive success,
Bryce Paul
Crypto 101
Palantir Is Down 27%, But the Long-Term Math Still Favors Bulls
By Chris Markoch. Publication Date: 2/13/2026.
Key Points
- Palantir has penetrated just 2% to 3% of its expanding addressable market, leaving significant runway for sustained double-digit growth.
- High gross margins and operating leverage position the company to convert incremental revenue into outsized profit as adoption scales.
- Despite bearish commentary and recent stock volatility, analyst price targets and AI-driven demand trends support the long-term bull thesis.
- Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]
The broad sell-off in technology stocks has dragged down plenty of big names. Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) is no exception.
Following a gain of more than 136% in 2025, shares of PLTR were down more than 27% as of Feb. 12. For many investors, that kind of volatility shifts the conversation back to valuation.
Have $500? Invest in Elon's AI Masterplan (Ad)
What if you could claim a stake in what's set to be the biggest IPO ever… starting with just $500?
Everyone is talking about Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO.
In the short term, the market is a voting machine, and traders are clearly giving PLTR a vote of no confidence. In the long term, the market is a weighing machine — and that's why this reset looks like an opportunity for investors who can take a long position in the AI stock.
A key reason is that, despite rapid growth on both the commercial and government sides, Palantir has only penetrated roughly 2% to 3% of its total addressable market (TAM).
The Math Behind the Market
When Palantir first went public in 2020, the company estimated a global TAM exceeding $120 billion across government and commercial verticals. At that time it had captured about 2.4%. Five years later, TAM has expanded rapidly due to AI-driven demand in analytics, defense, and the commercial sector, growing at an approximate compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 25%.
Despite strong revenue growth in a deeper, more diversified market, Palantir's share of its TAM remains in the low single digits. If the company merely doubled its share to 5%, that would imply a revenue base approaching $6 billion to $7 billion — still a modest fraction of the market's potential.
Accelerating demand for on-premise and classified AI systems should cause TAM to expand faster than any single supplier can fill it, leaving structural upside intact. The takeaway: modest gains in TAM could translate into double-digit revenue growth for years.
Margins Built for Scale and Long-Term Growth
Part of Palantir's appeal is its operating leverage. Gross margins above 75% and expanding adjusted operating margins — recently in the 30% to 35% range — indicate that incremental revenue flows disproportionately to profit. As commercial momentum compounds, Palantir's cost base should flatten relative to revenue, unlocking further scalability.
This supports a middle-innings growth narrative: Palantir is still growing into a very large market with durable economics rather than peaking. Investors should view margin resilience not just as defense but as a platform for sustained compounding.
The company's long-term thesis remains tied to multi-decade trends: the digital transformation of defense, institutional adoption of AI analytics, and the expanding value of real-time data orchestration. With only a small fraction of its TAM penetrated and improving profit potential, Palantir looks more like an early-stage structural beneficiary than a late-cycle business. Volatility may obscure that view in the near term, but the math and margins support the long-term bull case.
A Word About Michael Burry
It would be incomplete to discuss PLTR's recent pullback without mentioning Michael Burry, the former manager of the now-deregistered Scion Asset Management, and his bearish commentary on Palantir.
Burry has publicly expressed doubt that the company's current momentum will continue, offering provocations such as:
- Palantir stock dropping as low as $46 per share.
- Palantir's market cap falling below $100 million.
By his own admission, much of Burry's critique is based on anecdotal information from an unnamed former company staffer and other items he could not independently verify. Another recurring criticism targets the company's heavy reliance on stock-based compensation — a critique that has followed Palantir since its 2020 IPO.
Notably, Burry is not currently publicly shorting PLTR. However, investors may remember that his now-defunct hedge fund once held significant bearish put positions on the company — reportedly about $912 million worth — which pressured the stock after that disclosure.
While the bear case has raised fear among some holders and could keep downside pressure alive, the company's most recent earnings report showed a business that appears anything but slowing. Many analysts (aside from Burry) have continued to raise price targets for PLTR; the consensus price target is now $191.05, which would be a gain of more than 47% from the stock's Feb. 12 close.
Amazon's in a Bear Market—What to Expect for the Rest of Q1
Submitted by Sam Quirke. Originally Published: 2/25/2026.
Key Points
- Amazon has fallen more than 20% from its November high, officially entering bear-market territory, as conviction remains weak.
- Earnings jitters and a massive AI spending plan have rattled investors, but shares are forming a bottom around $200.
- Near-universal Buy ratings and bullish price targets from analysts suggest the selloff may be short-lived.
- Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]
After trading near $260 last November, tech titan Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) sits just above $200 as of late February. The decline has pushed the stock into bear market territory—more than 20% off its recent peak—and what was already a choppy 2025 has become a fragile start to 2026 for investors.
The most recent catalyst was the company's Q4 earnings earlier this month.
Have $500? Invest in Elon's AI Masterplan (Ad)
What if you could claim a stake in what's set to be the biggest IPO ever… starting with just $500?
Everyone is talking about Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO.
An uncommon miss on earnings per share (EPS), combined with management's plan to spend roughly $200 billion on AI and data-center expansion, spooked investors.
In a market increasingly sensitive to spending discipline, that headline was enough to shake confidence—especially since the stock was already struggling to sustain momentum.
Yet beneath the price weakness, the business itself does not appear to be deteriorating. That raises an important question now that Amazon is officially in a bear market: Is this the start of a deeper downtrend, or simply a reset? Here's how to think about the setup for the rest of the quarter.
What's Behind the Drop?
The stock had been drifting sideways for months, unable to build consistent upside momentum. That lack of conviction left it vulnerable to any negative shift in investor sentiment. When earnings disappointed and management outlined eye-watering spending plans, sellers took control.
Importantly, the reaction felt less like a response to collapsing fundamentals and more like fatigue with the narrative. Investors are questioning whether heavy AI spending can deliver acceptable returns quickly enough in a macro environment that's less forgiving of aggressive capital allocation.
That tension defines the current setup. Amazon is investing heavily to stay ahead in AI and infrastructure—key growth channels—but the market is asking for proof of returns, not just promises of dominance.
The Fundamentals Are Not Bearish
Despite the selloff, Amazon's fundamentals remain solid. Revenue is growing, margins are expanding, and AWS is accelerating faster than many expected. Those are not signs of a company in structural decline.
Valuation has also reset. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, at about 28, is one of its lowest readings in years. For a dominant, diversified business spanning e-commerce, cloud, advertising, and subscriptions, that multiple is not stretched.
Given that backdrop, the disconnect between price action and operating performance is striking. For sidelined investors, it frames this technical bear market more as a potential buying opportunity than an automatic warning sign.
Analysts Are Not Throwing in the Towel
Supporting that view, analysts remain largely bullish despite the bear-market label.
Firms such as Daiwa Securities Group and New Street Research, to pick two, have reiterated Buy ratings on Amazon this month, with price targets pushing toward $285.
From current levels near $200, those targets imply roughly 40% upside—a level of conviction that would be hard to justify if revenue were contracting or margins were collapsing.
Instead, the bullish stance reflects confidence in Amazon's long-term strategic positioning, which appears to outweigh near-term negative sentiment on the shares.
What the Chart Is Saying
Technically, there are signs the shares are beginning to form a bottom around $200. That was the recent low where buyers stepped in during mid-February, preventing a deeper breakdown. That area now serves as critical support heading into the rest of Q1.
If the stock can hold above $200 and start putting in higher lows, the bear-market tag may prove short-lived and the pullback could be read as a reset rather than the start of a prolonged decline. If $200 fails, however, downside could accelerate toward last year's low near $170.
What to Expect Through the Rest of Q1
The most likely near-term path is continued volatility. Investors are uneasy about the stock's inability to mount a sustained rally, and any additional headlines on spending could spark sharp swings.
At the same time, the underlying business momentum provides a floor. AWS's strength and expanding margins give fundamental support that many other bear-market stocks lack. That dynamic suggests Amazon is more likely consolidating than embarking on a multi-year collapse.
For the rest of Q1, watch the $200 level closely. As long as shares stay above it, the odds of a recovery back toward the mid-$200s remain reasonable. A break below $200 would likely invite renewed selling and extend the bear phase.
This message is a sponsored message provided by Crypto 101 Media, a third-party advertiser of MarketBeat. Why was I sent this email?.
© 2026 Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved.
2382 Camino Vida Roble, Suite I
Carlsbad, CA 92011, United States
The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate.
Readers acknowledge that the authors are not engaging in the rendering of legal, financial, medical, or professional advice. The reader agrees that under no circumstances Boardwalk Flock, LLC is responsible for any losses, direct or indirect, which are incurred as a result of the use of the information contained within this, including, but not limited to, errors, omissions, or inaccuracies.
Results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. Making money trading digital currencies takes time and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk.
If you need assistance with your subscription, feel free to contact MarketBeat's U.S. based support team at contact@marketbeat.com.
If you would no longer like to receive promotional emails from MarketBeat advertisers, you can unsubscribe or manage your mailing preferences here.
Copyright 2006-2026 MarketBeat Media, LLC. All rights reserved.
345 N Reid Place, Sixth Floor, Sioux Falls, South Dakota 57103. USA..
No comments:
Post a Comment