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Rocket Lab Earnings Loom as Neutron Timeline Takes Center Stage
By Ryan Hasson. Article Published: 2/19/2026.
Key Points
- Rocket Lab shares have pulled back nearly 30% from their highs ahead of a pivotal fourth-quarter earnings report.
- Investors are closely watching for updates on the Neutron rocket timeline following a recent test setback.
- Strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and backlog conversion will be key to restoring bullish momentum.
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Aerospace and defense company Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) is just a week away from its fourth-quarter earnings report, scheduled for Feb. 26, after markets close. The stakes are high.
Investors will be watching for updated timelines and forward guidance, and the stock has pulled back sharply from recent highs. Shares are down nearly 30% from their 52-week and all-time highs, pressured by a mix of softer risk appetite and company-specific concerns. With sentiment reset, this earnings report could be pivotal for the stock's near-term direction.
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Here is what investors should focus on heading into the release.
Technical Positioning Remains Constructive
Despite recent volatility, Rocket Lab's longer-term trend remains intact. The stock is still up more than 1,300% over the past three years and is roughly flat year to date, though shares have experienced sharp selling pressure over the past two months.
The pullback was driven in part by broader market weakness and in part by concerns surrounding Neutron development. Even so, the longer-term structure remains bullish.
On the weekly chart, Rocket Lab continues to trade above its 200-day simple moving average, and the stock is attempting to establish a higher low near $65.
Since the uptrend began in 2025, the pattern of higher highs and higher lows has not been broken. As long as shares remain above the 200-day moving average and well above its November 2025 lows near $40, the broader uptrend remains intact.
Neutron Timeline Takes Center Stage
The most immediate source of investor anxiety has been the recent Neutron development update. In January, the company disclosed that a Stage 1 tank ruptured during qualification testing at its Long Beach, California facility. Rocket Lab emphasized that such outcomes are not uncommon during development testing, particularly for a new medium‑lift launch vehicle. Still, uncertainty around whether the incident could delay Neutron's maiden flight weighed on sentiment.
The company said it would assess the impact and provide an updated timeline during the fourth-quarter earnings call. That update will likely be the most closely watched part of the report.
If the maiden Neutron launch remains on track within the previously communicated window and management provides constructive commentary on testing progress and customer engagement, sentiment could shift quickly.
What the Earnings Report Needs to Show
Operationally, Rocket Lab entered the quarter with momentum. In its third quarter 2025 results, the company posted record revenue and showed continued demand across both Electron launch services and its Space Systems division.
Investors will be looking for that strength to continue. Management previously guided fourth-quarter revenue between $170 million and $180 million, with non-GAAP gross margin expected in the mid-40% range. Meeting or exceeding that guidance would reinforce confidence in execution.
Electron remains the company's financial backbone for now, and management continues to target non-GAAP margins of 45% to 50% as launch cadence increases. Rocket Lab ended last quarter with more than $1.1 billion in contracted backlog across launch and spacecraft production.
A meaningful portion of that backlog is expected to convert into revenue over the next year and will be another key focus for investors.
The company also continues to secure government business. On Feb. 12, Rocket Lab announced an upcoming dedicated HASTE mission for the Department of Defense's Defense Innovation Unit, marking its fourth hypersonic test launch in under six months. That cadence underscores growing demand for responsive launch capabilities.
This earnings report is about execution and reassurance. If Rocket Lab can deliver solid financial results, reaffirm its Neutron timeline, and demonstrate continued demand strength, the recent pullback may be more noise than signal.
Berkshire & AI Hyperscalers: Buffett Holds GOOGL, Dumps AMZN
Submitted by Leo Miller. Publication Date: 2/18/2026.
Key Points
- Berkshire Hathaway's latest 13F filing revealed interesting moves from Q4 2025, especially regarding AI hyperscalers.
- The company initiated a position in a top media company, pushing hard into the digital economy.
- While Berkshire sold a portion of its AAPL holdings, the Magnificent Seven stock remains its largest position.
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Investment giant Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) released its portfolio moves for Q4 2025. The company's 13F filing details the trades it made during the quarter ending Dec. 31, providing insight into its views on several notable names. Key changes include a stake in a major media company and moves among multiple Magnificent Seven stocks.
At the end of 2025, Berkshire founder Warren Buffett retired as CEO. Greg Abel has since taken over that role, while Buffett remains chairman of the board and will continue to influence the company.
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These were Berkshire's last portfolio moves while Buffett served as CEO. As he steps back after an extraordinary 60-year run, here are the most significant trades from Q4 2025.
The New York Times: Berkshire's Shiny New Holding
In Q4, Berkshire initiated a position in The New York Times (NYSE: NYT), buying nearly 5.1 million shares. The stake was worth about $352 million at quarter-end, roughly 0.13% of Berkshire's equity portfolio.
NYT shares rose around 21% in Q4 and have continued higher into 2026. Its November earnings report helped fuel the rally: the company added 460,000 net new digital subscribers that quarter, up 77% year-over-year, while digital advertising revenue grew 20%. That advertising growth has accelerated each quarter since Q4 2023 and reached 25% in NYT's latest earnings.
Berkshire's purchase signals confidence in NYT's digital-transformation strategy, which has gained significant traction.
Berkshire Reduces Apple Stake, Trims Several Key Names
Berkshire trimmed its stake in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) by 4% in Q4, continuing a recent pattern of selling the stock: the firm cut Apple by about 7% in Q2 2025 and by 15% in Q3 2025.
Despite the reductions, Apple remained Berkshire's largest position, valued at nearly $62 billion at quarter-end — about 23% of the equity portfolio — indicating continued confidence in the iPhone maker's long-term prospects.
Other notable reductions included selling roughly 48% of its Atlanta Braves (NASDAQ: BATRK) stake, a 9% cut in Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), and a 3% trim in Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ). The biggest headline, however, was Berkshire's sale of hyperscaler and Magnificent Seven giant Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN).
AMZN vs GOOGL: Berkshire Dumps One, Holds the Other Steady
During the quarter, Berkshire sold more than 7.7 million Amazon shares, cutting its holdings from about 10 million to roughly 2.3 million — a roughly 77% reduction. Unlike the gradual trimming of Apple, this drop in Amazon was abrupt; it was Berkshire's first meaningful AMZN sale since a small reduction from 11 million to 10 million shares in Q3 2023.
One plausible reason: Amazon reached an all-time closing high of $254 in Q4 and has since fallen roughly 20%, so Berkshire may have taken profits near that peak. Berkshire may also have reacted to Amazon's aggressive capital-expenditure guidance — the company plans about $200 billion in CapEx for 2026, the highest among hyperscalers and roughly $50 billion above analyst expectations — a factor that pressured the stock after its latest earnings report.
By contrast, Berkshire left its position in Amazon's cloud rival, Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), unchanged despite Alphabet also hitting new highs during Q4. That suggests greater conviction in Google's cloud and artificial-intelligence strategy than in Amazon's.
Analyst Forecasts Clash with Berkshire's Long-Term Perspective
One notable takeaway from Berkshire's Q4 13F is not just what it sold, but what it kept. Selling Amazon while holding Alphabet highlights a clear preference for Google.
Analysts' 12-month price targets tell a different story: the consensus target for AMZN implies about 43% upside, while the consensus for GOOGL implies roughly 20% upside. But price targets are short-term forecasts; Berkshire typically invests with a multi-year horizon, and these trades likely reflect where the firm sees long-term value.
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