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Made by Toyota: Joby Aviation Targeting 4 Aircraft Per Month
Authored by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Published: 2/17/2026.
The stock chart for Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) tells one story, but the activity on the factory floor tells a different one. As of mid‑February, shares of the electric air-taxi pioneer are trading near $9.88, down roughly 25% since the start of the year. That decline has rattled retail investors who watch the company burn cash while awaiting the launch of commercial flights. Still, a significant announcement today signals Joby is shifting from a research experiment toward becoming a serious industrial manufacturer in the aerospace sector.
Joby revealed updated plans to double its manufacturing capacity, officially targeting a production rate of four aircraft per month by 2027. While four may sound small to an automotive investor, in aerospace that rate represents a meaningful leap.
The critical detail for investors isn't just the target number; it is how Joby plans to reach it. The company is not doing this alone. It is deploying nearly 200 engineers from Toyota (NYSE: TM) directly into its facilities to oversee the expansion. That move suggests the primary risk for Joby is no longer whether its aircraft will fly, but whether it can build thousands of them without going broke.
The Toyota Production System Arrives
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- Toyota has deployed a team of engineers to Joby's facilities to implement the Toyota Production System to improve manufacturing efficiency.
- Joby recently secured capital to fund operations through the certification phase and support the expansion of its production capabilities.
- The company is shifting from a research startup to an industrial manufacturer with a clear path toward commercial passenger flights in the near future.
For years, the Joby–Toyota partnership was viewed mainly as a financial lifeline. Toyota has invested nearly $900 million in the startup, providing capital to sustain costly research and development. But the February 17 update changes the relationship from passive investment to active management.
Deploying roughly 200 Toyota engineers to Joby's pilot production line in Marina, California, and its future high‑volume facility in Dayton, Ohio, represents a large transfer of manufacturing know‑how. These engineers will implement the Toyota Production System (TPS).
For those less familiar with manufacturing, TPS is considered the global standard for efficiency. It centers on three core principles:
- Just-in-Time Production: Reducing inventory costs by having parts arrive exactly when needed.
- Jidoka (Automation with a Human Touch): Designing machines that stop automatically when a defect is detected, preventing bad parts from moving down the line.
- Kaizen (Continuous Improvement): A culture where every worker is empowered to suggest changes that speed up the process.
Applying TPS to aerospace is a competitive advantage. Traditional aviation manufacturing is bespoke, slow, and costly. By adopting automotive‑grade efficiency, Joby aims to lower the unit cost of each aircraft substantially.
If Joby can produce four aircraft a month by 2027 with low defect rates, it creates a path to profitability that competitors relying on standard aerospace methods will struggle to match. This operational moat is hard to quantify on a balance sheet today, but it could be the foundation for future earnings.
The Price of Ambition
Building a factory and hiring hundreds of specialized engineers is expensive. That reality hit shareholders in late January 2026, when Joby completed a capital raise of roughly $1 billion through a mix of new stock and convertible bonds.
The market reacted negatively, pushing the stock down about 17% in a matter of days. The immediate decline reflected dilution: issuing new shares reduces the ownership percentage of existing shareholders, which often lowers the share price in the short term.
In the capital‑intensive world of aerospace, cash is oxygen. After the raise, Joby's cash reserves sit well above $1 billion. That war chest matters for two reasons:
- Burn Rate: The company reported a net loss of about $401 million in the third quarter of 2025. Without the January capital injection, the aggressive manufacturing targets announced this week would be mathematically impossible.
- Infrastructure: The funds support acquisition and tooling for the 700,000‑square‑foot facility in Dayton, Ohio.
Investors must weigh the pain of short‑term dilution against the risk of insolvency. The electric vertical take‑off and landing (eVTOL) sector is littered with companies running low on funds. By securing capital now, Joby has purchased the runway needed to survive the critical 2026–2027 ramp‑up phase. The drop in share price was essentially the price of admission to keep the company solvent through that period.
Volatility vs. Viability
The road ahead will likely remain volatile. While the 2027 manufacturing targets provide a clear destination, Joby still needs to execute its immediate commercial launch. The company is targeting the start of passenger services in Dubai in 2026, followed by operations in New York and Los Angeles in partnership with Delta Air Lines.
Despite current bearish sentiment and a Reduce consensus rating among some analysts, the average price target sits at $13.21 — implying potential upside of more than 30% from the current level ($9.88). That gap suggests Wall Street is cautious about timing but recognizes the value of Joby's underlying assets.
The investor thesis is straightforward: the recent share‑price decline is a backward‑looking reaction to financing, while the Toyota integration is a forward‑looking signal of operational viability. If Joby hits its goal of four aircraft per month by 2027, today's share price may eventually look like a discount on a major industrial player.
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