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Crypto 101
Spotify Just Crushed Earnings—So Why Is the Stock Still Down 34%?
Reported by Chris Markoch. Date Posted: 2/10/2026.
At a Glance
- Spotify posted a strong earnings beat, driven by margin expansion and subscriber growth across all regions.
- SPOT stock showed technical signs of being oversold before earnings and surged back toward key moving averages.
- Despite lower price targets, most analysts maintain Buy ratings with upside well above current levels.
Spotify Technology (NYSE: SPOT) delivered a strong earnings report that reinforces the company’s leadership in audio streaming. It also signals that the company’s new initiatives could be catalysts for future growth. For investors, that makes SPOT an attractive opportunity after falling more than 34% year-to-date in early February 2026.
Before the report, SPOT’s chart showed clear oversold signals. The earnings print supports a bounce higher, particularly as money begins to flow back into technology stocks.
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As of the market close on Feb. 9, the stock was trading below its lower Bollinger band and the relative strength index was firmly in oversold territory. A 17% jump in the first hour of trading pushed the stock back to its 20-day simple moving average (SMA).
With positive subscriber momentum and Spotify’s expansion into new products, including video and audiobooks, this looks like a solid entry point for investors seeking growth in 2026.
Analysts Have Been Leading the Way
Prior to the company’s earnings report, SPOT dropped after KeyCorp lowered its price target to $720 from $830 — slightly below the consensus target of $724.16. KeyCorp wasn’t alone; many analysts have trimmed targets since the start of the year.
Investors should separate the act of lowering targets from the level of the revised targets. In this case, most of the new targets remain well above the stock’s $414.74 close on Feb. 9, and several exceed the consensus price target.
Even with lower price targets, most analysts have maintained a Buy or equivalent rating. According to the Spotify analyst forecasts, 34 analysts cover SPOT: 26 rate it Buy or equivalent and eight rate it Hold or equivalent.
Spotify Is Firing on All Cylinders
Revenue was €4.53 billion (approx. $5.27 billion), slightly above the €4.52 billion ($5.14 billion) estimate. The bottom line was the bigger surprise: adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of €4.43 (approx. $5.16), well above the €2.78 (approx. $3.16) estimate.
The company added 38 million monthly active users (MAUs), bringing the total to 751 million, up 11% year-over-year (YoY). Premium subscribers rose to 290 million, a 10% YoY gain. Notably, growth in both segments occurred across all regions.
With about two-thirds of subscribers still on the free tier, these results show Spotify is becoming more efficient at monetizing each user while keeping costs under control.
That efficiency showed up in operating margin, which came in at 15.5%, markedly higher than the prior year’s 11.2%. Management attributed the improvement to a combination of pricing and product mix.
Premium revenue benefited not only from more subscribers but also from price increases, which strengthened the bottom line. Spotify is also demonstrating cost discipline: gross margin came in at 33.1%, above the company’s guidance of 32.9%.
Investors are forward-looking, and ad revenue remains an area to watch — it was a weak spot this quarter. Management focused this quarter on growing subscriptions, which should position Spotify to command higher ad prices later. Analysts estimate that could add roughly $1 billion in additional revenue over the next 12 months.
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