Dear Investor,
Gold captured the headlines this year, pushing to new records and drawing global attention. But behind the scenes, another metal has quietly delivered one of the strongest moves of the entire complex - and the setup forming beneath it may turn into one of the most important stories of 2026.
Silver didn't just participate in this year's rally - it surged. Prices doubled in 2025, broke through long-standing resistance levels, and entered a 4th consecutive year of structural deficits. That combination of rising demand and flat supply is unusual. Historically, it has signaled the start of multi-year cycles where well-positioned companies often see meaningful inflows of capital.
What's driving it? The same forces transforming the global economy: AI data centers, EV drivetrains, solar infrastructure, high-end electronics, and modern defense technology. Silver isn't a "nice to have" input to these sectors - it's essential. And as demand accelerates, the supply simply hasn't kept pace.
That's why attention is shifting to companies operating in regions known for scale. One name in particular has started to appear on institutional radars. The company controls three 100%-owned projects across Mexico's most productive mineral belts - including a newly acquired district-scale asset that came with something rare in this industry: a strategic equity investment from the world's largest primary silver producer.
Moves like this don't happen casually. They happen when experienced operators see something in the geology, the model, or the potential scale that aligns with where the market is headed.
Silver's momentum is real - and the underlying fundamentals driving it are strengthening. Investors tracking the shift toward supply-constrained metals may want to understand the companies positioned within this trend, before the next phase unfolds.
See the company gaining traction as the silver cycle strengthens.
Micron's Run Isn't Over—3 Signals Point to More Upside
Reported by Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 2/17/2026.
Key Points
- Micron’s early-2026 pause is framed as consolidation, with the draft pointing to technicals, analyst target trends, and institutional activity as support.
- The near-term setup hinges on earnings read-through from NVIDIA and Micron, especially around HBM production ramps and capacity expansion.
- Improved cash flow, debt reduction, and buybacks are presented as key supports, while capacity limits and guidance risk remain the main threats.
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Micron's (NASDAQ: MU) stock price has struggled in early 2026: it hit a fresh high before stalling. There is a risk this rally is over, but several indicators — chart technicals, analyst sentiment, and institutional activity — suggest it isn't. Together, these signals point to a strengthening tailwind and the potential for another 50% to 100% increase in the stock this year.
The catalysts include upcoming earnings releases from NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Micron. NVIDIA's results will signal whether the AI flywheel continues to accelerate; Micron's results will show how that acceleration is affecting the AI memory supply chain. As a leading provider of required HBM3E — and soon HBM4E — memory, Micron is likely to deliver potent catalysts, including updates on production ramps and expansion plans. The company already has multiple initiatives underway, including capacity expansions in critical markets such as the U.S. and Asia.
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Micron Price Action Establishes Support at Higher Levels
Micron's chart action is bullish: prices are up roughly 375% from the March 2025 low. The move has been parabolic, reflecting rapidly strengthening momentum, but risks remain. A key risk is that the resistance reached in early 2026 holds. Still, several signs argue against an immediate top. The stock is showing support in the $375 to $380 region, while candle signals are confirmed by a converging MACD and rising volume.
MACD convergence is a classic indicator of technical strength, suggesting the current highs are likely to be exceeded or, at minimum, retested after any correction. Rising volume reinforces the price and MACD signals, indicating institutional participation and conviction. The takeaway: the market has not necessarily topped out — and strong upcoming results could be the next leg higher.
Analysts and Institutions Accumulate Micron Stock
Micron was trading above its consensus price target as of mid-Q1 2026, but that's the worst that can be said — the broader trends remain bullish. The consensus price target is up roughly 160% over the trailing 12 months, with the high end of analyst targets near $500. That $500 figure implies roughly 20% upside from record highs, and industry-wide AI demand suggests high-end forecasts could continue to move higher this year. Of the 38 analysts MarketBeat tracks, the consensus rating is Buy with a 92% buy-side bias, and coverage has increased nearly 50% year over year as of February 2026.
Institutional activity also supports the bullish case. Ownership data shows institutions bought on balance over the trailing 12 months, bought on balance in four of the past five quarters, and ramped activity in Q1 2026, accumulating shares and underpinning the rally. Institutions now own more than 80% of the stock, providing a level of support that can limit downside — investors can expect institutional buying on meaningful dips unless material negative news emerges.
Cash Flow and Capital Returns Underpin Stock Price Action
Improving cash flow is another driver behind Micron's stock performance. Stronger cash flow has enabled debt reduction and the resumption of share buybacks, both of which support shareholder value. Reduced leverage frees up capital and helped drive a roughly 750-basis-point improvement in the most recent quarter, while buybacks help offset dilution. If cash flow and profitability continue to accelerate, buybacks could accelerate as well. Micron's balance sheet is solid, with total liabilities roughly half of equity.
That said, a key risk to upside is capacity constraints. The HBM market is effectively sold out through year-end, including Micron's allocations, which leaves little room for outperformance versus analyst expectations. In that scenario, even strong results may not sustain elevated stock prices without equally strong guidance. Any signs of production or expansion delays would likely be reflected in the stock, potentially capping gains if analysts begin to trim targets.
Unity's Stock Plunges 30%: Panic? Or Profit?
Reported by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Published: 2/12/2026.
Key Points
- Unity delivered strong quarterly results, exceeding analyst expectations for revenue and earnings, while generating significant free cash flow.
- The firm's new artificial intelligence advertising platform is seeing accelerating adoption and is expected to become a major revenue driver by the end of the year.
- Market valuation has dropped to attractive levels relative to the software business's improved profitability profile and long-term growth potential.
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Wall Street often struggles with complex corporate maneuvers; Feb. 11, 2026 provided a stark example. Investors in Unity Software (NYSE: U) experienced a dramatic sell-off as the stock plunged nearly 30% to close around $20.43. The move erased months of recovery and pushed the company's valuation to multi-year lows.
At first glance, the steep decline looks like a business in crisis. A closer read of the financial report, however, tells a different story: Unity actually beat analyst expectations for the fourth quarter of 2025, reporting higher revenue and profits than Wall Street had forecast.
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The sell-off wasn't triggered by current operational failure but by fear around a bold strategic pivot. Management is deliberately shrinking a legacy part of the business to accelerate growth in a newer, higher-margin segment. That transition creates a short-term revenue dip that investors have interpreted as weakness, potentially disconnecting Unity's stock price from the company's underlying financial reality.
Profits Over Promises: Unity Delivers Record Cash Flow
To judge whether the market reaction is warranted, start with the quarter's results. For years Unity was criticized for burning cash to chase growth. The latest report paints a different picture. Under CEO Matt Bromberg, the company is transitioning into a disciplined, cash-generating enterprise.
In Q4 2025, Unity reported revenue of $503.1 million, roughly a 10% year-over-year increase and comfortably above the consensus estimate of about $492 million. More importantly, the company is becoming materially more profitable: adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.24, beating the $0.21 forecast.
The most convincing sign of health is cash flow — the actual cash remaining after operating expenses and capital spending. Where Unity once posted negative cash flow and relied on dilution or borrowing, Q4 delivered:
- Free Cash Flow: $119 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA: $124.9 million, a roughly 25% margin.
Those results suggest the operational turnaround is already producing tangible benefits. The business is increasingly self-sufficient and less reliant on external funding. In a volatile market, that stability typically establishes a floor for the stock price because the company now has the cash to weather economic storms.
Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain
If recent results were solid, why did the stock collapse? The answer is guidance. Unity projected Q1 2026 revenue of $480 million to $490 million, missing the average analyst estimate of $494 million and implying near-term growth could slow.
Context matters. The guidance miss isn't driven by a sudden collapse in demand but by a strategic decision: management is winding down the IronSource advertising network, a legacy, commoditized, low-margin business that generates revenue but little profit.
By turning off IronSource, Unity is pushing customers to its newer AI-powered platform, Unity Vector. That creates a temporary revenue "air pocket" — old revenue is turned off before new revenue fully ramps.
Despite the softer total revenue outlook, Vector is showing strong underlying performance. Key indicators include:
- Sequential Growth: Vector grew revenue roughly 15% from Q3 to Q4.
- Momentum: January 2026 was Vector's best revenue month to date, with sales up roughly 70% year-over-year.
- Future Outlook: Management expects Vector to reach a $1 billion annualized run rate by the end of 2026.
Those data point to a product that is working. Management is accepting short-term optical weakness in total revenue to improve the company's long-term revenue mix and margins. Investors who sold on the headline might have overlooked the quality improvement beneath the surface.
Price Targets vs. Share Price: Measuring the Gap
The market's reaction was swift and severe — classic capitulation, where investors sell indiscriminately. On the earnings day, volume exceeded 100 million shares, about triple normal activity, signaling a mass exodus of short-term holders.
Professional analysts have been more measured. While price targets have been trimmed to reflect near-term volatility, analyst valuations remain materially higher than the current share price.
Trading near $20, Unity is priced well below even the more pessimistic analyst updates. If the stock were to recover to the lowest target around $29, that would represent a gain of over 40% from current levels.
A Clearing Event for Patient Investors
The market dislikes uncertainty, and Unity has presented a complicated picture. On one hand, the company is more profitable, generating record cash flow and validating its new AI technology. On the other hand, management has chosen to inflict short-term pain by shutting down a legacy business, making the next few months' revenue appear weak.
Unity's 30% drop looks like a clearing event — a reset that flushes out short-term traders and resets expectations. For investors focused on fundamentals, the picture is clearer: the business is stabilizing, the balance sheet is healthy, and the product transition is underway. Although volatility will likely persist until the migration to Vector is complete in mid-2026, the gap between market panic and the company's improving profitability presents a compelling risk-reward for those willing to look past the headlines.
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