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Sandisk's Swings Are Getting Bigger—Here's How to Play Them
Authored by Sam Quirke. Posted: 2/5/2026.
Key Takeaways
- Shares of Sandisk have surged almost 150% since the start of January. At one point, it was up almost 1,800% over the past year.
- This comes with increased volatility, however, as recent sessions have seen intraday swings of around 20%.
- With momentum still strong but technicals clearly overheated, February is about positioning, not chasing.
With its biggest intraday drop in months immediately followed by its largest intraday gain, Sandisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has entered a new phase of price action. The stock had already been named one of the standout winners of 2025 before gaining nearly 200% in the first weeks of 2026. At one point it was up about 1,800% since its spinoff from Western Digital.
Those kinds of gains rarely move in a straight line.
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Get the full story on this opportunity now.Instead, they tend to bring violent swings, shifting levels of investor confidence and rapid sentiment changes — all of which have been on full display recently.
The Jan. 30 intraday drop of about 20% was followed by roughly a 25% gain the next trading day, a reminder that Sandisk is now a stock that demands an iron stomach.
As we move through February, the question isn't whether Sandisk has an attractive long-term story — it clearly does — but how to use this volatility to an investor's advantage.
Why the Bull Case Is So Strong
Before getting tactical, it helps to understand why buyers jump on dips in SNDK. Since spinning out from Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ: WDC) last year, Sandisk has quickly become one of Wall Street's favorite growth stories.
The appeal is straightforward: the company has broad exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), recently reported impressively high margins, and sells storage products whose demand is viewed as less cyclical than much of the broader semiconductor space. That combination is rare in today's equity landscape.
Those themes were reinforced by last week's earnings report, which beat analyst expectations across the board. Revenue surged more than 60% year-over-year, earnings beat forecasts, and forward guidance surprised the market: fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are now expected between $12 and $14, versus prior expectations near $5. That scale of optimism helps explain why the Jan. 30 selloff was quickly absorbed and followed by fresh highs.
Because of this, Sandisk is likely to keep attracting buyers even when sharp downswings occur. It's the right company at the right time.
Why Volatility Is Likely to Remain
As compelling as the fundamentals are, the technical setup almost guarantees continued turbulence. Sandisk's relative strength index (RSI) is now approaching 90, a level that signals extreme overbought conditions.
That doesn't mean the stock can't go higher in 2026 — it could. What it does mean is that sharp pullbacks and bouts of profit-taking, some lasting days or weeks, should be expected. No stock, no matter how strong the story, climbs in a straight line forever.
With earnings out of the way and near-term uncertainty reduced, the market is in the process of repricing Sandisk's long-term potential to the upside. The risk is that a sudden selloff — company-specific or broader market-driven — could gather momentum and spook investors who bought near the recent highs, turning a routine dip into something more uncomfortable.
2 Ways to Play the Volatility Through February
One approach is patience: wait for a meaningful pullback and be ready to act decisively. Given the strong recent earnings report and market appetite to buy weakness, any dip can be treated as an opportunity rather than a warning. The danger is deploying too much capital too early if a pullback deepens before stabilizing.
The second approach is to respect the momentum: build a smaller position into the current strength and plan to add on future dips, rather than trying to pick a perfect entry. This suits investors comfortable with large swings and who believe the stock will be materially higher a year from now regardless of near-term volatility.
Recent analyst commentary supports that longer-term confidence. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its bullish stance last week with an $800 price target, and UBS followed with a $1,000 target. With the stock still trading below $700 at the time of writing, those targets imply meaningful upside even after the extraordinary rally — investors simply need to be prepared for the lows as well as the highs.
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