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The last time fear was this extreme, what followed was the biggest rally in crypto history.
Bryce Paul
Crypto 101
3 Insurance Stocks Hitting 52-Week Highs With More Room to Run
Submitted by Dan Schmidt. Article Published: 2/10/2026.
Key Points
- Despite markets being near all-time highs, investors have begun rotating out of tech and into safer sectors.
- Consumer staples and industrials are popular havens for risk-averse investors, but the insurance industry is also starting to look promising due to interest rate tailwinds.
- These three insurance stocks recently broke out to new 52-week highs and appear to have more room yet to run.
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Trade rotation has been the dominant market theme so far in 2026. AI hyperscalers are still allocating significant capital toward their goals, but those investments aren't being rewarded as they were in prior years. Instead, money has flowed into more defensive sectors such as consumer staples and industrials as investors digest weak U.S. economic data. Major indices remain within a hair of all-time highs, but this dispersion has given some participants pause: a broadening market can mask underlying weakness. Today, we look at one industry where the current environment is improving the long-term outlook: insurance.
Interest Rate Tailwinds and Improved Efficiency Boost the Insurance Industry
Insurance stocks lagged in 2025, but several structural tailwinds suggest potential outperformance in 2026. First, interest rate policy takes time to work through the industry. Unlike the tech sector, where borrowing costs are front of mind, insurers don't feel the full effect of higher rates until their bond portfolios roll over. After many years of near-zero rates, insurers are seeing net investment income (NII) expand as they reinvest premium pools into higher-yielding assets. The Federal Reserve has begun easing rates, but existing bonds will continue to generate higher returns until insurers must reinvest into newly issued, lower-yielding securities.
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Other tailwinds benefiting the insurance industry include:
- Benign weather: Despite devastating wildfires in California and flooding in Texas, no hurricanes made landfall in the continental United States in 2025, which limited catastrophe payouts and helped underwriting margins.
- Pricing power: Insurers have passed premium increases to both commercial and individual policyholders with minimal pushback. Demand for coverage remains strong amid rising litigation and vehicle repair costs, even as underwriting standards have tightened.
- AI efficiency: Insurers are adopting AI tools like CAPE Analytics and Ecopia AI to deliver personalized, real-time risk assessments. Home insurers, for example, can use these tools to instantly evaluate property conditions, surrounding vegetation, drainage patterns and climate risk to produce more precise policy recommendations and more efficient underwriting.
3 Insurance Stocks Breaking Out to New 52-Week Highs
Defensive areas such as consumer staples have been outperforming lately, and insurance stocks are another place where risk-averse investors have parked cash. These three large insurers quietly broke out to new 52-week highs in February, and their rallies show few signs of abating.
Travelers Companies: Big Earnings Beat Fuels 2026 Tailwinds
Investors in Travelers Companies Inc. (NYSE: TRV) have reason to be optimistic in 2026. The company recorded unusually low catastrophe losses in 2025, which helped drive its Q4 2025 earnings well past analyst expectations. Travelers beat on earnings per share (EPS of $11.13 vs. $8.34 expected) and revenue ($12.43 billion vs. $11.13 billion expected), and its combined ratio of 80.2% highlights improved underwriting efficiency. The company also authorized an additional $5 billion in share repurchases and is positioned to raise its dividend for the 22nd consecutive year.
The stock has trended higher for most of the past 12 months, but the recent breakout has accelerated. A bullish MACD crossover has added momentum, and the stock finds strong support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Investors will be watching whether the 50-day SMA becomes new support, which would suggest this bullish momentum has staying power.
Aflac: Dividend Aristocrat Finally Breaks Out
Aflac Inc. (NYSE: AFL) has been range-bound for much of the past 15 months, but it is finally breaking out following its Q4 2025 earnings report, which showed growth in U.S. premiums and year-over-year expansion in adjusted EPS. Importantly, Aflac remains a strong capital compounder, announcing another round of buybacks and more than $300 million in dividend payments in Q4. The company has raised its dividend for 44 consecutive years and has grown the payout at a roughly 13% annualized rate over the last five years.
The stock surpassed its previous all-time high in early February after 15 months of range-bound trading. While Aflac's earnings weren't as strong as Travelers', the breakout appears robust, supported by confirmation from the MACD and relative strength index (RSI). A reliable dividend combined with upside potential makes the stock appealing for risk-averse investors.
The Hartford: New Highs Supported by Earnings and Investment Income
The Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE: HIG) also benefited from a muted catastrophe season and expanding net investment income. The company's Q4 2025 earnings beats were driven by a nearly 15% year-over-year increase in investment income and 8% premium growth in its Business Insurance segment. Following the report, Cantor Fitzgerald analysts raised their price target to a Street-high $165, implying nearly 15% upside from current levels.
Like Travelers, The Hartford is signaling a technical breakout on the daily chart. The 200-day SMA has served as support for much of the last year, and a bullish MACD crossover now confirms the latest momentum shift.
Forget Chips, Buy Wires: BHP Hits Highs as Copper Overtakes Iron
Submitted by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Published: 2/19/2026.
Key Points
- BHP Group reported that copper earnings have officially surpassed iron ore earnings for the first time in history as the company pivots toward future-facing commodities.
- The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence data centers is creating an inelastic demand shock for copper, driving prices higher and benefiting major producers.
- Strategic government initiatives to stockpile critical minerals are establishing a price floor that supports long-term growth for allied producers in the mining sector.
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While investors obsess over the next fluctuation in chipmaker stock prices, a quiet revolution pushed the world's largest miner to a record high on Feb. 17, 2026. BHP Group (NYSE: BHP) climbed to about $74.27, signaling that the digital economy has finally bumped into a physical constraint: electricity.
For the first time in its 170-year history, BHP's earnings report revealed a fundamental shift in the global economic engine.
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The company's copper division generated more underlying earnings than its iron ore division.
This crossover is a significant structural milestone; it marks the end of the Iron Age—driven by Chinese urbanization—and the start of a Copper Age defined by Western artificial intelligence (AI) and electrification.
As the Great Rotation from technology stocks to materials gains momentum, investors are realizing that the AI revolution cannot exist without copper infrastructure to power it.
The New King of Commodities
The headline figures from BHP's half-year results were strong: underlying profit rose 22% to $6.2 billion. But the internal mix of those earnings tells the real story. Copper earnings (EBITDA) jumped to $7.95 billion, eclipsing iron ore earnings of $7.5 billion.
Historically, BHP has been viewed as a proxy for the Chinese property market. Iron ore was the cash cow that funded dividends, while other commodities played supporting roles. Today's report flips that narrative. The company has shifted portfolio exposure toward future-facing commodities, a pivot that removes much of the China discount often applied to miners and re-rates the stock from a cyclical value play to a secular growth proxy. By aligning production with the needs of the digital age rather than the industrial age, BHP has insulated itself from slowing steel demand in emerging markets.
47 Tonnes Per Megawatt: The Perfect Economic Storm
Two powerful macro forces are converging to create a copper supercycle: inelastic commercial demand and strategic government support.
On the demand side, the buildout of AI infrastructure is consuming copper at rates that defy historical models. Standard data centers used for cloud storage are relatively efficient, requiring about two tonnes of copper for every megawatt (MW) of power capacity. New AI training data centers are a different beast: they require much higher power densities for liquid cooling and high-performance computing. According to S&P Global, copper intensity for these AI-specific centers can surge to 47 tonnes per MW.
This demand is price-inelastic. Hyperscale developers are engaged in an existential arms race; they cannot afford to delay a $5 billion data center launch because copper wiring costs have risen. They will pay whatever the market demands to secure the physical materials needed to go online.
On the supply side, geopolitics is reinforcing the floor. Earlier this month, the U.S. government officially launched Project Vault, a $12 billion Strategic Critical Minerals Reserve. Designed to stockpile up to 60 days' worth of essential industrial metals, the initiative acts as a government-backed put option for producers in allied nations such as Australia and Chile. Unlike past cycles—when inventory gluts caused price crashes—the U.S. has positioned itself as a buyer of last resort. That policy de-risks new mine development for companies like BHP and tightens available free-float inventory for the rest of the market.
A Growth Stock Paying Value Dividends
Investors often must choose between high-growth companies that reinvest every dollar and low-growth companies that pay steady dividends. BHP's current position bridges that gap. Alongside its earnings beat, the Board declared a $0.73 interim dividend, a 46% increase year-over-year. That represents a payout ratio around 60%, signaling strong confidence in future cash flows.
Importantly, BHP is funding its copper growth pipeline—including projects in South Australia and the Andes—without stressing its balance sheet. The company announced a $4.3 billion silver streaming deal with Wheaton Precious Metals. A streaming deal allows BHP to sell future silver production (a by-product of its copper mines) in exchange for upfront cash today.
This is smart financial engineering. By monetizing a non-core asset like silver, BHP raised billions in near-term cash to preserve its fortress balance sheet (net debt at $14.7 billion) and fund copper expansion without issuing new debt or diluting shareholders. The capital allocation strategy offers investors both immediate income and exposure to long-term capital appreciation.
The Cleanest Shirt in the Mining Sector
In a sector frequently disrupted by operational setbacks, BHP stands out for stability. While some competitors struggle to maintain output, BHP achieved record throughput at Escondida, the world's largest copper mine.
The contrast with peers is stark. Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO) is contending with a production halt at its massive Simandou iron ore project in Guinea following a tragic fatality. That disruption not only hit cash flow but underlines the risks of operating in difficult jurisdictions. Meanwhile, Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), the premier U.S. copper play, is still recovering from the Grasberg mine mudflow incident in late 2025. Those production cuts have limited Freeport's ability to fully capitalize on the current price rally.
For investors seeking exposure to the copper theme, BHP offers the cleanest shirt in the sector: operational reliability that Freeport currently lacks and a commodity mix Rio Tinto is still chasing.
Infrastructure Is the New Tech
The rotation from technology to materials is not a temporary trade; it reflects a basic infrastructure reality. The digital future is constrained by physical limits, and copper is the bottleneck.
If NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the gold rush of the modern era, BHP is the company selling the picks and shovels. With a record-setting earnings pivot, a potential government-backed price floor via Project Vault, and a capital allocation strategy that rewards shareholders now while funding growth, BHP has positioned itself as a cornerstone stock for the next phase of the global economy. In a world where data centers are the new oil wells, the miner of this essential metal holds significant leverage.
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