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This Week's Bonus Content 3 Names to Watch as Homebuilders Near BreakoutSubmitted by Ryan Hasson. Posted: 2/18/2026. 
Key Points- Homebuilding stocks are outperforming early this year, with XHB up 17% as capital rotates out of tech and into defensive, asset-backed sectors.
- A persistent U.S. housing shortage and potential rate cuts are improving sentiment and strengthening the sector’s fundamental backdrop.
- Leaders like PulteGroup and Toll Brothers are showing strong momentum, with both approaching key technical breakout levels.
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The homebuilding sector is off to an exceptionally strong start this year. While it has trailed leadership groups like technology in recent years, 2026 has seen a sharp reversal in momentum. The State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (NYSEARCA: XHB) is already up 17% year-to-date, notably outperforming the broader market, which began the year slightly in the red. That strength reflects a broader rotation. Capital has moved out of high-multiple growth areas such as technology and software and into more defensive, asset-backed sectors including consumer staples, energy, and homebuilders. Sentiment has also improved as investors look ahead to potential interest-rate cuts and confront a structural housing shortage in the United States. Analysts estimate the country is short as many as 4 million homes, on top of the roughly 1.5 million units needed annually to meet baseline demand. If borrowing costs ease while underlying demand remains firm, builders could find themselves in a favorable position, with supply expansion meeting durable demand. For investors bullish on the theme, three names stand out for their relative strength and recent momentum. XHB: A Diversified Sector BetFor broad exposure, XHB offers a straightforward solution. The ETF tracks the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index and provides diversified access to U.S.-focused housing and housing-related companies, with 86% of its geographic exposure in the United States. Its allocations extend beyond pure home construction: about 47% of the portfolio is in household durables, 17% in building products, 13% in specialty retail, and 11% in construction materials. The fund is also relatively balanced; its top 25 holdings are closely weighted, with the largest position at 3.7% and the 25th at 2.9%, which reduces single-stock concentration risk. Technically, XHB has been consolidating in a multi-year range, with support near $100 and resistance around $126. The ETF has recently pushed toward the upper end of that range, and a sustained move above resistance could signal a broader breakout if momentum continues into the first quarter. PulteGroup: Technical Strength Meets ValuePulteGroup (NYSE: PHM) has emerged as one of the sector's clear leaders, climbing 21.5% year to date. The stock has formed a broad bullish wedge on the weekly chart and recently cleared a key pivot high, bringing the $150 level into focus as a potential breakout zone. A decisive move above that mark would confirm a multi-year technical breakout. Fundamentally, the company remains attractively valued. Shares trade at a P/E of 12.8 and offer a dividend yield of 0.73%, alongside a consensus Moderate Buy rating. In its most recent quarterly report, PulteGroup delivered EPS of $2.96, beating expectations of $2.86, while revenue of $4.4 billion came in ahead of estimates despite a slight year-over-year decline. The combination of earnings resilience and improving price action reinforces its leadership position within the group. Toll Brothers: Nearing a BreakoutToll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) has also impressed, gaining nearly 23% year-to-date. Following a recent rally, the stock now trades about 2% below its prior all-time high, a level that doubles as a major technical inflection point. A breakout above that high could open the door to further upside. Known for its luxury residential and mixed-use developments, Toll Brothers occupies a premium niche within the housing market. Even after its strong run, valuation remains reasonable, with a P/E of 12.25 and a dividend yield of 0.6%. The stock also carries a consensus Moderate Buy rating. Investors will be watching its upcoming earnings report, scheduled for Feb. 17, closely, with estimates calling for $2.06 in EPS on $1.86 billion in revenue. As always, investors should consider their risk tolerance and conduct due diligence before adding sector-specific exposure.
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