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Cisco Systems Below $82? Buy Now, It Won't Last—$182 Is Coming
Author: Thomas Hughes. Originally Published: 2/13/2026.
Key Takeaways
- Cisco is well-positioned to benefit from a multi-year tech refresh cycle.
- AI underpins the need for newer, faster, more efficient networking and connectivity solutions.
- Analysts and institutions support this market: dividends, distribution growth, and buybacks attract buy-and-hold investors.
It is a bold statement to say Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) stock will advance by $100, to $182, but there are forces at play and precedents that suggest just that. Cisco's share price crossed a significant threshold in early February, rising above the $82 level to set a fresh all-time high.
The all-time high is significant on its own; it is the stock's first since the DotCom bubble burst, marking a potential pivot point for this market. Others, including Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) have crossed similar thresholds and later advanced by modest-to-high triple-digit amounts.
A Cyclical Upswing and Capital Return Underpin CSCO Price Action
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Cisco's primary driver is an AI-driven, multi-year tech refresh cycle. Existing data centers need updating to modern standards, new ones are being built aggressively, and enterprise networking continues to expand to support the Internet and global economies. The critical takeaway is that Cisco, as a leading provider, is well entrenched in the marketplace and positioned to benefit from a tailwind expected to persist for many years.
While the 20x earnings multiple at which the stock traded in mid-February is somewhat high relative to recent years, it likely understates the company's strength. More notable is that the stock trades at only 14x projected 2030 earnings, which implies there is room for the price to increase by at least 50% over the coming years if earnings grow and outpace current forecasts.
Capital returns are another driver of Cisco's stock performance. Cisco has long been a high-quality dividend payer and share repurchaser, with a market-beating yield, reliable payments, and a declining share count.
The dividend yields about 1.9% as of February and appears safe, representing roughly 40% of this year's earnings guidance at the low end of the range. The company has increased its payout annually for 15 consecutive years and is likely to continue that trend.
On buybacks, Q2 2026 activity contributed to a 0.5% year-to-date reduction in share count and is expected to proceed at a similar pace through year-end. The latest data suggest Cisco has sufficient authorization to continue repurchases for roughly 10 more quarters at the Q2 pace.
Analysts Applaud Cisco's Q2 Results: Raise Targets, Lead Market
Cisco's Q2 results were solid, and analysts liked what they saw. The company reported 10% system-wide growth and $15.35 billion in revenue—150 basis points above expectations—along with strong earnings. Revenue growth was driven by both product and services, with product revenue rising 20%, underpinned by networking's 20% increase.
All regions showed strength and margin trends were positive. The company's increased CapEx and investments in innovation and growth are weighing on cash flow in the near term, but adjusted earnings grew 11%—195 basis points ahead of estimates—and are expected to remain strong through year-end.
MarketBeat tracked several analyst updates immediately after the release, including multiple price-target raises and reaffirmations. The new targets align with or exceed consensus, suggesting a minimum 20% upside is possible.
A move to new highs could open the door to much larger gains. The roughly $70 trading-range magnitude that has dominated price action over the past 26 years suggests a move toward the $150 level is possible over time.
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