Will Trump Cancel the Midterms?

January 16th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Midterms Odds for Trump to invoke the insurrection act this year spiked 37% following comments by Trump and Karoline Leavitt yesterday. "The Insurrection Act is a tool at the president's disposal," said Leavitt. Read more → ​ Quick Links Will the Midterms Happen as Scheduled? → Which Party Will Win the House? → Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms → ¡Rubio! Marco Rubio's 2028 presidential odds are hitting all time highs this week. Check odds → ​ Wallet Watch A Legend is Born Trader @ascetic0x turned $12 into $100k (over 8,300x) with an insane string of 16 high-conviction BTC price predictions. See how he did it. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Trump and Machado not shake hands? View market → 90% +68% Nothing Ever Happens: January View market → 61% +29% GPT ads by March 31? View market → 64% +30% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Number of TSA Passengers January 17? 12h Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election? 1d Africa Cup of Nations Winner 1d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed J. Cole 'The Fall-Off' First Week Album Sales? 13h ago Bank of Korea decision in April? 13h ago Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...? 14h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume US strikes Iran by...? $10.50M Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? $3.58M 2026 NBA Champion $2.88M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 49ers vs. Seahawks 1d Pelicans vs. Pacers 12h Texans vs. Patriots 2d Bills vs. Broncos 1d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? $73.6K BoringPunter See Wallet → "No" Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? $61.1K Alexparker See Wallet → "No" Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? $57.0K chungguskhan See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word 🔮 Our Man in Lisbon A Polymarket whale reveals $300k Portugal election his positions after going boots-on-the-ground. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.