DOJ Opens Criminal Probe Into Powell. Charges Next?

January 12th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Powell Probe The DOJ has opened a criminal investigation into whether Fed Chair Powell misled Congress about the cost of renovating the Fed's headquarters. Powell clapped back yesterday, calling the move a "pretext" to pressure the Fed to cut rates. Polymarket traders see near-term charges for Powell as unlikely. Read more → Let's Make a Deal Following reports that Trump is prepping airstrikes on Iran, Tehran has reached out to reboot nuclear talks. But Polymarket traders seem to think we're already past this point. Check odds → Regime Change It's still more than twice as likely that Khamenei leaves power this year than any kind of nuclear deal. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds US forces enter Iran by January 31? View market → 10% -8% Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? View market → 84% +41% Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? View market → 16% +13% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Uganda Presidential Election 2d What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by January 31? 3d Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16? 3d "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office 26m See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? 12h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Fed decision in January? $17.32M Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $3.61M Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? $3.57M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $2.41M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Canucks vs. Canadiens 12h Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club 5h Texans vs. Steelers 13h Super Bowl Champion 2026 27d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? $1.29M Ryan888 See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.