Monday, October 17, 2022

OnPolitics: Economy is weighing on Dems in Midwest, and exclusive poll shows Vance up in Ohio race

In exclusive new poll, Ohio voters are choosing Republican J.D. Vance over Democrat Tim Ryan in tight Senate race. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

On Politics
 
Monday, October 17
WORTHINGTON, OH - MAY 3: Voters cast their ballots in the Ohio primary election at a polling location at Worthington Kilbourne High School on May 3, 2022 in Worthington, Ohio, a suburb of Columbus. Former President Donald Trump recently endorsed J.D. Vance in the Ohio Republican Senate primary. Other candidates in the Republican Senate primary field include Josh Mandel, Mike Gibbons, Jane Timken, Matt Dolan and Mark Pukita. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) ORG   XMIT: 775804996 ORIG FILE ID: 1240419194
OnPolitics: What's on voters' minds in Ohio? The economy.
In exclusive new poll, Ohio voters are choosing Republican J.D. Vance over Democrat Tim Ryan in tight Senate race.

Good afternoon, OnPolitics readers. It's Politics Managing Editor Caren Bohan with the results of an exclusive new poll in the tight Ohio Senate race.

Economic anxiety is weighing on Democrats in the Midwest in the final stretch before the Nov. 8 midterm elections,  according to fresh polls. A new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll shows Republican J.D. Vance with a slight lead over Democrat Tim Ryan, Washington Bureau Chief Susan Page reports.

Vance leads 47%-45%, a shift from Ryan's one-point advantage last month, 47%-46%. Both findings are within the survey's 4.4 percentage-point margin of error. 

The No. 1 issue on voters' minds? The economy. Asked to choose from a list of five options, 44% of likely midterm voters cited the economy and inflation as their most important concerns. Threats to democracy and abortion lagged behind, with each listed as the top concern by 19% of those in the survey.

Ohioans view the economic landscape as troubled. Three in four rate the economy as fair or poor, compared to one in five who call it excellent or good.

Meanwhile, in Michigan, Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer remains the favorite to win reelection in her race against Republican Tudor Dixon but her lead is not as commanding as it once was, according to a poll from EPIC-MRA of Lansing, conducted for the Free Press and its statewide media partners. The Free Press is part of the USA TODAY network.

Whitmer's lead over Republican challenger Tudor Dixon is 11 percentage points, down from 16 points in September. The EPIC-MRA poll found inflation has overtaken abortion as the top issue on voters' minds and views of the Michigan economy have darkened since the last poll just a little over three weeks ago. --Caren Bohan

It's Amy with the top stories out of Washington.

Real quick: stories you'll want to read

DOJ seeks six months for Bannon: The Justice Department is seeking a six-month prison term for former Trump White House strategist Steve Bannon who faces sentencing this week following his conviction on contempt of Congress charges for defying a subpoena from the special House Committee investigating the Capitol attack.
🗳️ When does early voting begin in your state? Voters in some states could have already begun casting their ballots for the midterm election. In others, in-person early voting begins as soon as this week. Here's the full list of voting dates by state.
How Xi Jinping remains 'chairman of everything': Xi Jinping will upend Chinese political traditions cementing his status as one of the world's most powerful leaders – and take on the U.S. to become the dominant superpower – when members of the country's ruling Communist Party extend a third term as general secretary at the Party's 20th National Congress this week.
House panel uncovers Trump hotel charges: Hotels owned by Donald Trump and his family repeatedly overcharged the Secret Service for their rooms, billing up to $1,185 per night, according to documents obtained by a House committee.
🏠'I don't have faith in the system': For millions of renters across America, soaring housing costs have them not only reassessing their housing situation but also their political allegiance just weeks before the Nov. 8 midterm election that will determine which party controls Congress and governor's mansions across the nation.

📺 What's next: Candidates in key races this midterm election cycle are taking to the stage tonight.

Georgia gubernatorial candidates Stacey Abrams and Brian Kemp will face off at 7 p.m. ET. 

Meanwhile, Ohio Senate candidates Rep. Tim Ryan and J.D. Vance will be debating for the second time at the same time. Follow our live blogs for the latest updates.

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