Another shutdown?!

February 4th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Open & Shut Trump signed a bill yesterday ending the partial government shutdown. But the bill only funds the Department of Homeland Security through February 13. Traders are pricing in higher odds for another shutdown this month. Read more → ​ Quick Links When will DHS receive full-year funding? → Gatorade Forecast Sunday night's Big Game™ is about way more than the final score. We've got every random side bet imaginable: Gatorade shower color (orange is trending), Barron Trump cameo, and dozens more. Read more → Software Slide The launch of Claude Code has triggered a sharp selloff in software stocks. Who is next on the chopping block as earnings season continues? Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026? View market → 93% +46% Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30? View market → 54% +9% Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? View market → 25% -25% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In How many jobs added in January? 1d Thailand Legislative Election Winner 3d Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? 3d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Next Country US Strikes 12h ago SAVE Act signed into law in 2026? 12h ago Where will the US & Iran meet? 15h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Which companies will be acquired before 2027? $1.62M Fed decision in March? $5.82M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $3.91M Presidential Election Winner 2028 $3.93M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Seattle vs. New England 4d UEFA Champions League Winner 115d Grizzlies vs. Kings 15h Where will Giannis be traded? 12h Wild vs. Predators 13h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? $176.5K Alexparker See Wallet → "No" Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? $156.0K JAHODA See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word Introducing "The Polymarket" New York's first free grocery store, is opening on February 12. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC — an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 64 Bleecker Street, 167 New York, NY 10012 U.S.