Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Are we heading for a recession?

Also: Welcome to the trade war ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌  ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ 
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The Daily Money

ALL THE MONEY NEWS YOU NEED TO KNOW

Wed Mar 12 2025

 

Daniel de Visé Personal Finance Reporter

Good morning! It's Daniel de Visé with your Daily Money.

With the stock market tumbling, consumer confidence skidding and U.S. companies ramping up layoffs, it may look like the nation is hurtling toward a recession.

It isn't – yet. But trouble spots are mounting.

It's tariff time

President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on steel and aluminum imports took effect on Wednesday as his administration's drive for better global trade deals sent tremors through financial markets and fueled fears of inflation and recession.

Trump's action to bulk up protections for American steel and aluminum producers restores effective global tariffs of 25% on all imports of the metals and extends the duties to hundreds of products made from the metals.

More federal layoffs hit

Just a month after Trump's administration fired over 100,000 early-tenure government employees, his administration is planning a larger slashing of workforce across the country, and the details are becoming clearer by the hour.

The job cuts come as economists are increasingly worried about the risk of a recession. (See above.)

One of the latest targets: the Education Department.

📰 More stories you shouldn't miss 📰

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Beware of these tax scams
Social Security COLA brings good news

About The Daily Money

Each weekday, The Daily Money  delivers the best consumer and financial news from USA TODAY, breaking down complex events, providing the TLDR version, and explaining how everything from Fed rate changes to bankruptcies impacts you.

Daniel de Visé covers personal finance for USA Today.

A shopper makes her way through Macy's in New York City.

President Trump's expanding trade war is boosting the chances of a recession. Layoffs are rising and consumer confidence and spending are sliding.

Workers install steel rods at a construction site in Miami, Florida, March 11, 2025.
 

NOAA laying off another 1,000 employees as part of Trump federal cuts

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New wave of federal layoffs is about to hit. What we know.

Federal agencies have until Thursday, March 13 to submit plans to the Trump administration for large-scale layoffs, called a reduction in force.

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Inflation slowed significantly in February but Trump's tariffs on way

Inflation eased more than expected in February, according to the consumer price index. Trump's tariffs are likely to propel prices higher

White House Senior Advisor Elon Musk walks to the White House after landing in Marine One on the South Lawn with U.S. President Donald Trump (not pictured) on March 9, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump was returning to the White House after spending the weekend at Mar-a-Lago, his private club in Florida.
 

What happened to DOGE stimulus checks? Here's where things stand

Americans continue to wonder about the possibility of DOGE stimulus checks. Here's where things stand and how the idea originated.

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Stocks are down. What does it mean for your 401(k)?

The stock market slid Tuesday amid concerns that Trump's tariffs could spark a recession. How older, younger Amricans should handle the dip.

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The silver lining to the Social Security COLA forecast for 2026

Cooling inflation is good news for retirees, but it's also going to impact the 2026 Social Security cost-of-living-adjustment.

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IRS releases list of most dangerous threats to getting your tax refund

Scammers are 'relentless,' according to new IRS alert listing the 'Dirty Dozen' tax scams. Bad social media advice triggers trouble with refunds.

Feb 28, 2023; Washington, DC, USA; Protestors gather outside the U.S. Supreme Court ahead of the oral arguments in two cases that challenge President Joe Biden's $400 billion student loan forgiveness plan.
 

What happens to student loans if Trump dismantles Education Department

Borrowers are wondering what will happen to their loans and repayment plans if President Trump closes the Department of Education.

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The trade war woes

President Donald Trump's tariffs on imported steel and aluminum imports went into effect on Wednesday. ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌...