Wednesday, November 9, 2022

OnPolitics: What's to come in the 2022 midterm elections

With Congress as narrowly divided as it has been in two decades, voters in a few states could still tip the balance of power towards Republicans. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

On Politics
 
Wednesday, November 9
Voters cast their ballots for the 2022 midterm elections at Park Tavern in Atlanta Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022.
OnPolitics: What's to come in the 2022 midterm elections
With Congress as narrowly divided as it has been in two decades, voters in a few states could still tip the balance of power towards Republicans.

Greetings, OnPolitics readers!

It's Amy here post-Election Day chaos, and we're breaking down all the big news you may have missed last night. 

With Congress as narrowly divided as it has been in two decades, voters in a few closely contested races in the Senate and House of Representatives still could tip the balance of power in both houses over to Republicans. 

Get results in real time: Follow along with the results of the 2022 midterm elections here

With many Americans taking advantage of early voting in these midterm elections, we could be many hours or days away from knowing the makeup of the 118th Congress. 

Catch up fast: Assistant Washington Editor Ledge King is sharing some context to the last 24 hours of results rolling in and what it means for the country.

What can Americans deduce from what we've seen from unofficial election results so far?

Ledge: All of the races have yet to be called but this was clearly an unexpected outcome. Democrats did far better than pre-election polls projected and it's probably due to two reasons: sub-par GOP candidates in key states and the abortion rights issue which Democrats played up effectively.

For historical reference, between 1950 and 2018, the party occupying the White House lost a net average of 25 House seats and three to four Senate seats during the midterms. Democrats are on pace to lose no more than a handful of House seats and could even gain a Senate seat.

Many expected a 'red wave,' but Democrats had a stronger showing than expected. What does that tell us? 

Ledge: It suggests Democracy was on the ballot more than many originally thought. A number of Trump-backed Republicans, who parroted the former-president's groundless claims of a stolen 2020 election, lost. And voters reelected centrist Democrats in swing states, such as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia and Susan Wild in Pennsylvania, who were seen as vulnerable targets.

What comes next? 

Ledge: Several House and Senate races still need to be called or decided – including the Georgia Senate race between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and GOP challenger Herschel Walker, which could decide control of the Senate. That's now going to a Dec. 6 runoff since neither candidate won more than 50% of the vote.

Some House races, in states such as California, could take weeks as well, although it's becoming clearer that Republicans will take control of the House, but with a slim margin at best.

House Republicans campaigned on a promise to investigate the Biden administration and roll back its policies. Do Tuesday's weaker than expected results for the GOP change how they might approach the next term? 

Ledge: The calls from Republican hardliners to investigate President Joe Biden's administration, including the Afghanistan withdrawal, the handling of the southern border surge and the FBI search of Mar-a-Lago, will only intensify if the GOP takes over the House.

The question is whether Kevin McCarthy, the presumptive speaker in a GOP takeover, would give the green light given the red wave turned into a ripple on election night.

Republicans lost congressional seats in the 1990s after they went hard after Bill Clinton and McCarthy may be looking at history in deciding how aggressively to pursue Biden.

Real quick: stories you'll want to read 

Takeaways from the 2022 midterm elections: President Joe Biden was insistent throughout the fall that his presidency could defy the odds and that the Democratic Party would not suffer the steep midterm losses that were associated with his predecessors. While Democrats were still expected to lose their House majority, here's how Biden's strategy panned out and what it could mean for 2024.
Which states voted to protect right to abortion? Months after the Supreme Court removed constitutional protections for abortion, voters in several states, including Michigan and Kentucky, moved to preserve access to the procedure.
GOP sees mixed results in school board races: GOP-backed parental rights advocates saw mixed results in school board races all over the country on Tuesday after voters in more than two dozen states chose whom they want to represent them and make future decisions for kids.
🏳️‍🌈 These LGBTQ candidates made history: Among the winners elected to office are first-time members of Congress, transgender trailblazers and lesbian governors. The wins – in local and national races alike – come on the heels of midterm elections shaped in part by debates over LGBTQ rights.
Gen Z in the House: At age 25, Democrat Maxwell Frost made history Tuesday night when he became the first member of Gen Z to be elected to US Congress. Meet Florida's newest representative.

🏛️In non-election news: The Supreme Court wrestled with a 1978 law that prioritizes Native American families for the custody of Native children, a response to a decades long effort to assimilate those children by removing them from their tribes. Read more about this important case here.

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